Nashville Predators Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 57.1%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Nashville vs Ottawa+3.9+3.8+3.3-0.8-0.5-4.8
+0.8+0.8+0.6-0.2-0.3-0.9
+0.4+0.4+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.5
St. Louis vs NY Rangers-0.3-0.6*-0.3*+0.1*-0.0+0.5
-0.0-0.1-0.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.1
Arizona vs Winnipeg+0.3*-0.2*-0.4*-0.0-0.5*-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim+0.3*-0.1*-0.0*-0.3-0.4-0.2
Minnesota vs Colorado*-0.0*-0.3*-0.2-0.4*-0.1+0.2
Edmonton vs Calgary*+0.1-0.5*-0.2-0.4*-0.0*+0.1
Dallas vs Chicago*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nashville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
120-164In99.8%1001,073*
1195518-9In98.71000457*
1185519-8In98.49900681*
1175419-9In98.099001,042*
1165420-8In95.398111,560*
1155320-9In93.298112,096*
1145321-8In90.8963102,998*
1135221-9In86.1944204,137*
1125121-10In80.6925405,489*
1115122-9In72.588757,426*
1105022-10In65.184970009,639*
1095023-9In55.3791290012,253*
1084923-10In44.672151301015,532*
1074924-9In33.664191601019,442*
1064824-10In22.554232102024,100*
1054825-9In14.1452625130029,074*
1044725-10In7.73529292500034,521*
1034726-9In3.62630324801040,281*
1024626-10In1.318303461101046,948*
1014627-9100.0%0.31129321015020053,634*
1004527-10100.00.1625291519140060,266*
994528-9100.00.0320231923371066,399*
984428-1099.80.011617222561120072,468*
974429-999.4No1111124251015410077,932*
964329-1098.5No076222215197100082,780*
954330-996.2No0531917192212310086,601*
944230-1091.3No03115112223177200089,325*
934231-983.0No01010622212212410090,981*
924131-1070.2No1073201624198200090,944*
914132-955.0No00411611232415510090,126*
904032-1038.5No00201161826211030087,303*
893932-1124.0No0010731224261761084,386*
883933-1013.5No000417192824123079,150*
873833-116.6No000204132529197174,207*
863834-103.1No000102719302612268,487*
853734-111.2No0101413273119562,493*
843735-100.5No000028223327855,773*
833736-90.2No0000141532341449,229*
823636-100.1No00021028392143,226*
813536-110.0No00001622413037,156*
803537-100.0No000317413931,664*
793538-90.0No00212384926,628*
783438-10OutNo018345821,985*
773439-9OutNo005296617,673*
763339-10OutNo03237414,177*
753340-9OutNo02188011,205*
743240-10OutNo0114858,927*
733140-11OutNo011896,798*
723141-10OutNo08925,118*
713041-11OutNo06943,861*
703042-10OutNo04962,863*
692942-11OutNo02982,079*
682943-10OutNo2981,471*
672944-9OutNo1991,071*
662844-10OutNo199739*
652845-9OutNo199510*
642745-10OutNo0100350*
62-63OutNo100375*
612647-9OutNo19991*
59-60OutNo100110*
582448-10OutNo49624*
0-57OutNo100206*
Total:57.1%3.3%777777777777771,919,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary vs Vancouver*+0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.0-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville vs Ottawa-0.9-0.8-0.7+0.2+0.1+1.1
Arizona vs Winnipeg-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
St. Louis vs NY Rangers+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Dallas vs Chicago*-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0
Minnesota vs Colorado*+0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.1+0.0-0.0
Edmonton vs Calgary*-0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.0*-0.0*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122-164100
1215617-91000
1205618-81000
1195518-99910
1185519-898100
1175419-998100
1165420-895211
1155320-993411
1145321-8915310
1135221-9868420
1125121-108111540
1115122-9731575
1105022-1065199070000
1095023-955231109000
1084923-104527141130010
1074924-93430181161010
1064824-1023322121920200
1054825-9143123422313000
1044725-10827226236250000
1034726-9422219221040700100
1024626-1011617131914601010100
1014627-90111316141810113202000
1004527-1006817821132154104000
994528-903416320154158307010
984428-1001214116148121350912000
974429-9111001011128179112340100
964329-1000706715418123127711000
954330-90050331511612610121023100
944230-1000311130111011617126620000
934231-901001006716318101210520000
924131-10100703316115618121052000
914132-900040111401122091412731000
904032-10000200110611851216159410000
893932-11001007030122613181812620000
883933-100000041070271420201472100
873833-11000020400271421221683100
863834-100001002000271421231793100
853734-11010100127152224178200
843735-1000000012716242417720
833736-900000001381826241551
823636-10000001410212823112
813536-1100000015142630195
803537-100002820322810
793538-90001414303517
783438-100028243927
773439-90014184037
763339-10002123847
753340-90183259
743240-100142768
733140-11022275
723141-10011682
713041-1111485
703042-100990
692942-110694
682943-100496
672944-9397
662844-10298
652845-9298
642745-10199
62-63100
612647-9199
59-60100
582448-10496
0-57100
Total:343434343434343522333333333333