New York Rangers Playoff Chances 2014

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 50%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Boston vs Philadelphia+0.2*-0.2-0.4-0.3-0.4*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
St. Louis vs NY Rangers-4.5*-0.1*+0.1+4.0+4.5+4.6
-0.8-0.2-0.1+0.8+0.9+0.9
-0.5-0.0-0.0+0.4+0.5+0.5
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim-0.3*-0.2*-0.2*-0.1*+0.1+0.5
-0.0*-0.0-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Buffalo vs Columbus+0.2*-0.2*-0.1-0.3-0.3*-0.1
Nashville vs Ottawa+0.2*+0.2*+0.0*-0.2*-0.2-0.2
Philadelphia vs New Jersey*+0.1*-0.2-0.3*-0.3-0.4*+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
121-164In99.8%1001,245*
1205618-8In99.81000588*
1195518-9In99.010000864*
1185519-8In98.499001,289*
1175419-9In97.299111,947*
1165319-10In96.198112,855*
1155320-9In94.297113,954*
1145220-10In90.996325,688*
1135221-9In86.7934307,696*
1125121-10In82.09154010,655*
1115122-9In75.08776013,945*
1105022-10In66.5821090018,468*
1095023-9In57.176121100024,113*
1084923-10In46.669161401030,240*
1074924-9In35.160201801037,989*
1064824-10In24.2502323120047,130*
1054825-9In15.04127271400057,539*
1044725-10In8.03029313601069,004*
1034726-9100.0%3.8213033510010080,699*
1024626-10100.01.5142933814020093,879*
1014627-9100.00.48263013181400106,851*
1004527-1099.90.142225172227100120,191*
994528-999.80.02171821255102000133,149*
984428-1099.30.01121123259154100145,723*
974429-998.1No0862222131982000157,035*
964329-1095.1No053181618221341000167,091*
954330-989.1No031141021221882000174,258*
944230-1078.3No0101052119221461000179,527*
934231-963.2No01062181323211141000183,010*
924131-1045.0No003113819241893100183,077*
914132-928.3No002094132324167200181,435*
904032-1015.3No0010527182523135100176,867*
894033-97.2No0003131122262110300169,364*
883933-103.0No000101615252617710160,452*
873934-91.2No0100291927241340149,745*
863834-100.4No0000141324292081138,082*
853734-110.1No0000027182927143124,428*
843735-100.1No000013122532226111,995*
833635-110.0No000171933291099,124*
823636-100.0No000131330361786,010*
813637-90.0No0002826402573,910*
803537-10OutNo01419413462,621*
793538-9OutNo00214404452,373*
783438-10OutNo0019365342,784*
773439-9OutNo006316234,435*
763339-10OutNo003257127,968*
753340-9OutNo002217721,886*
743240-10OutNo01168317,024*
733241-9OutNo01118813,106*
723141-10OutNo09919,846*
713142-9OutNo06947,384*
703042-10OutNo04965,366*
693043-9OutNo3973,838*
682943-10OutNo2982,950*
672843-11OutNo1991,959*
662844-10OutNo1991,405*
652845-9OutNo199941*
642745-10OutNo100612*
632645-11OutNo0100425*
0-62OutNo1001,046*
Total:50.0%3.3%66666666666666663,839,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston vs Philadelphia-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Toronto vs Montreal*-0.0+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs NY Rangers+0.9+0.0+0.0-0.8-1.0-1.0
Buffalo vs Columbus-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1
Washington vs Montreal+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs New Jersey*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122-164100
1215617-9991
1205618-81000
1195518-999100
1185519-898100
1175419-997211
1165319-1096211
1155320-994311
1145220-1091532
1135221-9876430
1125121-108295040
1115122-9751270600
1105022-106715908000
1095023-95719120110000
1084923-104723150140010
1074924-93525191180010
1064824-1024262212211200
1054825-91526243252140000
1044725-108222452643060010
1034726-9417228257501000100
1024626-10112191021118013102000
1014627-9071312161412017114000
1004527-100491391616119320701000
994528-9025124141831965010020000
984428-100121011017615109014140100
974429-901706139912131173802000
964329-100050381141216217512041000
954330-9003014101916513917282000
944230-100010018051388111841462000
934231-900100502810310158191251000
924131-100003014101781120191141000
914132-900020018043101422191141000
904032-100001005021771623201251000
894033-90000030103281723211362000
883933-1000001000102816222215831000
873934-900100001371522231693100
863834-10000000001271522231793100
853734-11000000027152224189300
843735-10000000012715232417820
833635-110001281726251551
823636-10000001310212824112
813637-9000015142630205
803537-1000002719322911
793538-900001313293618
783438-1000018234027
773439-90014174038
763339-10002113749
753340-90173359
743240-100042768
733241-9022176
723141-10011683
713142-9011288
703042-1000991
693043-90694
682943-100496
672843-110298
662844-10298
652845-9298
642745-10199
632645-11199
0-62100
Total:333343434342424244444333333333