Florida Panthers Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 50%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay vs Florida-5.2-0.9-1.2+3.6+3.9+4.4
-0.9-0.3-0.2+0.7+0.7+0.8
-0.6-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.5
Nashville vs Ottawa+0.4*+0.0*-0.1*-0.1*-0.3-0.4
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim-0.2*-0.2*-0.3*+0.2*+0.1+0.2
Washington vs Montreal+0.2*-0.1*-0.0*-0.1*-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
122-164In99.8%100500*
1215617-9In99.01000202*
1205618-8In98.59900343*
1195518-9In98.19910477*
1185519-8In99.110000705*
1175419-9In97.399101,039*
1165420-8In96.498111,468*
1155320-9In94.197112,057*
1145321-8In90.9962203,004*
1135221-9In86.793434,159*
1125121-10In80.7906405,561*
1115122-9In74.1877607,466*
1105022-10In64.881118009,536*
1095023-9In56.17612120012,404*
1084923-10In45.168161501015,594*
1074924-9In33.459201902019,261*
1064824-10In23.0492523130024,031*
1054825-9In14.24027282400028,929*
1044725-10100.0%7.729293137010034,244*
1034726-9100.03.5203033510010040,535*
1024626-10100.01.2132932914020046,863*
1014627-9100.00.47263013191400053,798*
1004527-1099.90.1421241823271060,076*
994528-999.80.021617212551120066,243*
984428-1099.3No112112325915410072,951*
974429-998.0No086212214198200078,296*
964329-1095.1No0531916182213410082,726*
954330-988.9No03114102122198200086,976*
944230-1078.2No01095211923156100088,880*
934231-963.0No106218132321114100090,409*
924131-1044.8No00311381925189310090,996*
914132-928.2No00209413232416720089,846*
904032-1015.3No01052718252313510087,200*
894033-97.4No000304112226201030084,526*
883933-103.1No00020161525261771079,635*
873934-91.2No0010029202724134074,517*
863834-100.5No000014132529207168,217*
853734-110.1No0000002719292713362,239*
843735-100.0No00001412263221555,887*
833736-90.0No000172033291049,683*
823636-100.0No000141431351643,021*
813536-11OutNo0002926402437,127*
803537-100.0No001520413331,770*
793437-11OutNo00315404326,430*
783438-10OutNo0110375222,038*
773338-11OutNo016326217,869*
763339-10OutNo004276914,411*
753239-11OutNo02227611,081*
743240-10OutNo0116838,955*
733241-9OutNo112886,667*
723141-10OutNo09915,168*
713142-9OutNo06943,840*
703042-10OutNo5952,799*
692942-11OutNo04962,075*
682943-10OutNo03971,439*
672843-11OutNo2981,048*
662844-10OutNo199730*
652845-9OutNo199513*
0-64OutNo1001,080*
Total:50.0%3.3%66666666666666661,919,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Toronto vs Montreal-0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.1+0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay vs Florida+1.1+0.2+0.2-0.8-0.8-0.9
Buffalo vs Columbus+0.0+0.1*+0.1*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Nashville vs Ottawa-0.1+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0
Washington vs Montreal-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
124-164100
1235716-9991
1225717-8100
1215617-99900
1205618-899100
1195518-998110
1185519-899000
1175419-997210
1165420-896211
1155320-994311
1145321-8915220
1135221-987743
1125121-10819640
1115122-974137060
1105022-1065161108000
1095023-9561912012000
1084923-104523160150010
1074924-933261911810200
1064824-10232623221113000
1054825-91425243253240000
1044725-108222452653700100
1034726-93172282585010001000
1024626-10112181021119013102000
1014627-90713121514121172140000
1004527-100481391616119427010
994528-902412414184196501002000
984428-10121011016615109014140100
974429-901706129912131173802000
964329-10004038114121621651304100
954330-9003014101916513917282000
944230-10001018051387111841461000
934231-90100502810310158191251000
924131-10000301410178112019114100
914132-900002018043101422191141000
904032-10001005021771723201251000
894033-90000030003281723211362000
883933-100000200103817222215721000
873934-9000100001381622221683100
863834-1000000001271522231793100
853734-1100000000127152324178300
843735-1000000012716242516720
833736-900001391726241551
823636-1000001310212823102
813536-1100015142630195
803537-1000002820322710
793437-11001414303517
783438-100018253926
773338-110014184137
763339-10002133847
753239-110183557
743240-100042867
733241-9022275
723141-10011781
713142-9001387
703042-100991
692942-110793
682943-100595
672843-11397
662844-10298
652845-9298
642745-10100
632645-110100
622747-8199
0-61100
Total:333343434342424244444333333333