Chicago Blackhawks Playoff Chances 2014

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 57.2%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Dallas vs Chicago-4.6-0.5-0.4+4.0+4.4+4.9
-0.8-0.1-0.1+0.7+0.9+0.9
-0.5-0.1-0.0+0.4+0.4+0.5
Nashville vs Ottawa-0.3-0.4*-0.2*-0.0*+0.3+0.5
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
St. Louis vs NY Rangers-0.3*-0.3*-0.2*+0.2*-0.0+0.5
-0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Arizona vs Winnipeg+0.3-0.3*-0.1-0.4-0.5-0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Minnesota vs Colorado+0.1*-0.2*-0.1-0.4-0.5*+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim+0.2*+0.0*-0.1*-0.3*-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
120-164In99.6%1001,825*
1195518-9In99.11000853*
1185519-8In98.199001,303*
1175419-9In97.299101,990*
1165319-10In96.299112,787*
1155320-9In94.498113,978*
1145220-10In90.696225,666*
1135221-9In87.3943207,659*
1125121-10In81.89243010,697*
1115122-9In75.38965014,004*
1105022-10In66.685870018,522*
1095023-9In56.77912900024,214*
1084923-10In45.972151201030,794*
1074924-9In34.765181501038,106*
1064824-10In24.156222002047,546*
1054825-9In15.0462624130057,441*
1044725-10In8.23629282500068,302*
1034726-9In3.82730314701080,605*
1024626-10In1.419303361001093,974*
1014627-9100.0%0.411293210140200107,108*
1004527-10100.00.17252915191400120,132*
994528-999.90.032123192337100133,442*
984428-1099.80.0216172225510200144,924*
974429-999.5No1121124259144000156,848*
964329-1098.6No0862322151971000166,839*
954330-996.3No053191719221230000175,219*
944230-1091.6No03115112223177200180,138*
934231-983.2No0101062220221241000183,521*
924131-1070.6No10732016251982000183,544*
914132-954.8No004116112324155100181,526*
904032-1038.0No002011618262211300176,223*
894033-923.7No00107312242718710169,578*
883933-1013.3No0104171928241230160,488*
873833-116.4No0002031225292071149,994*
863834-102.9No0001017193026122137,680*
853734-111.2No001013132732195124,629*
843735-100.5No0000272134279111,750*
833635-110.2No000141532341498,992*
823636-100.1No00002928392285,804*
813536-110.0No0001622413073,837*
803537-100.0No000316414062,112*
793538-90.0No000111385052,202*
783438-10OutNo017345942,765*
773439-9OutNo004286734,499*
763339-100.0No0002237527,773*
753340-9OutNo01188121,716*
743240-10OutNo01138616,993*
733241-9OutNo00108913,021*
723141-10OutNo07939,970*
713142-9OutNo05957,230*
703042-10OutNo04965,460*
692942-11OutNo2983,872*
682943-10OutNo2982,669*
672843-11OutNo1992,021*
662844-10OutNo01001,337*
652845-9OutNo199913*
642745-10OutNo199606*
0-63OutNo1001,439*
Total:57.2%3.3%777777777777773,839,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Chicago+1.0+0.1+0.1-0.9-1.0-1.1
Arizona vs Winnipeg-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Nashville vs Ottawa+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1
St. Louis vs NY Rangers+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Colorado-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
126-164100
1255916-7982
123-124100
1225717-8991
1215617-9100
1205618-8991
1195518-99910
1185519-898100
1175419-997210
1165319-1096211
1155320-994311
1145220-1091622
1135221-98773020
1125121-10821040300
1115122-975136050
1105022-106718807000
1095023-9572311090000
1084923-104627140120010
1074924-935301711510100
1064824-1024322021910200
1054825-9153122321313000
1044725-108282362352040000
1034726-942321923940700100
1024626-1011718122014601010100
1014627-90111315141891132002000
1004527-1007917820132154104000
994528-90351641915415830601000
984428-1002214116158121350912000
974429-9111101011128179111340000
964329-1000706715418123127611000
954330-900503416116136101210230000
944230-100031113011101161612562000
934231-9001001006716318111210510000
924131-1001007033161156181210520000
914132-9000040111501022091412731000
904032-10000200110611751116159410000
894033-900100703012261318181262000
883933-100100410702614202014731000
873833-110000200300261421221683100
863834-100000101000261421231893100
853734-11001001000026142224189300
843735-10000000002715232517820
833635-110000001281726251551
823636-10000001310202824112
813536-110000015142630205
803537-1000002719322811
793538-90001313293618
783438-1000018234028
773439-9014174038
763339-100002123749
753340-90173359
743240-100042769
733241-90022176
723141-10011683
713142-911287
703042-100991
692942-110694
682943-100496
672843-11397
662844-10199
652845-9298
642745-10199
62-63100
612546-11298
0-60100
Total:343434343434342522333333333333