Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 57.1%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim-4.8-0.9-0.6+3.6+3.8+3.8
-0.9-0.4-0.2+0.6+0.7+0.8
-0.5-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.4+0.4
Edmonton vs Calgary+0.2*-0.1*-0.2-0.4-0.6*+0.0
*+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0
Arizona vs Winnipeg*-0.1*-0.1-0.5*-0.1*-0.3+0.2
Nashville vs Ottawa-0.2*-0.2*-0.2*-0.1*+0.2+0.3
St. Louis vs NY Rangers-0.2*-0.1*-0.1*+0.0*-0.1+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
120-164In99.7%1001,020*
1195518-9In98.610000516*
1185418-10In98.210000670*
1175419-9In97.699011,032*
1165420-8In96.499111,504*
1155320-9In93.197212,162*
1145220-10In90.096223,016*
1135221-9In86.5943204,145*
1125121-10In81.3925305,542*
1115122-9In74.1896507,194*
1105022-10In65.48497009,607*
1095023-9In55.6791290012,313*
1084923-10In44.872151301015,708*
1074924-9In33.164181701019,473*
1064824-10In22.855222002024,081*
1054825-9In14.1452625130029,080*
1044725-10In7.53529292500034,392*
1034726-9100.0%3.426303247010040,723*
1024626-10In1.218303371101046,913*
1014627-9100.00.31128321015120053,216*
1004527-10100.00.1625291519140059,925*
994528-9100.00.0321231923371066,461*
984428-1099.80.011617222561120072,277*
974429-999.5No0111124251015400078,273*
964329-1098.6No07622221419710082,757*
954330-996.0No0531917192212310086,736*
944230-1091.4No03115112223177100089,037*
934231-983.1No01010622212212410090,881*
924131-1070.4No107320162419820090,698*
914132-954.9No00411611232414510089,712*
904032-1038.6No00201161826211130087,573*
894033-924.0No010731224271761084,037*
883933-1013.4No0010417192824123079,648*
873833-117.0No000304132529197174,566*
863834-103.1No00102719302612268,849*
853734-111.3No0101413273219562,645*
843735-100.5No000028223427856,187*
833736-90.2No0000141532341449,614*
823636-100.1No000021028392143,490*
813637-90.0No001622412936,986*
803537-100.0No0000316413931,253*
793437-110.0No000212394826,292*
783438-100.0No0018345721,973*
773338-11OutNo005296617,560*
763339-10OutNo03247314,184*
753239-11OutNo02198011,235*
743240-10OutNo0115848,823*
733241-9OutNo010896,831*
723141-10OutNo08915,179*
713142-9OutNo06943,820*
703042-10OutNo04962,792*
692942-11OutNo02982,007*
682943-10OutNo2981,560*
672944-9OutNo1991,047*
662844-10OutNo0100735*
652744-11OutNo100482*
642745-10OutNo199341*
632746-9OutNo199209*
0-62OutNo100558*
Total:57.1%3.3%777777777777771,919,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles vs San Jose-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim+1.1+0.2+0.2-0.8-0.8-0.8
Arizona vs Winnipeg+0.0+0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.1
Edmonton vs Calgary*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121-164100
1205618-8991
1195518-999100
1185418-1098100
1175419-998101
1165420-896211
1155320-993421
1145220-1090622
1135221-9878320
1125121-1081115030
1115122-974146500
1105022-106519907000
1095023-956231209000
1084923-104527140120010
1074924-93331171161010
1064824-1023322021920200
1054825-9143122422313000
1044725-108282362452050000
1034726-93232192210407001000
1024626-1011717131914601010100
1014627-901113151418101142102000
1004527-10068178211321541040000
994528-9034164191541583070100
984428-10012141161481213501012000
974429-9011001011128179112340000
964329-100070671541812312771100
954330-90050331511613610121023100
944230-100021113011101161712562000
934231-900100100671531811121051000
924131-10010060331711561812105200000
914132-900041114011221914127310000
904032-1000020011061185111614941000
894033-900100703012261318181262000
883933-100010041070271420201472100
873833-110000300400271421221683100
863834-1000102000271421231793100
853734-110101000027152324178200
843735-1000000012716242416720
833736-90000001381826251451
823636-100000001310212923102
813637-9000015142630185
803537-10000002820322810
793437-110001414303516
783438-10000028253926
773338-110014184036
763339-1002123947
753239-110183358
743240-100052867
733241-9022275
723141-10011881
713142-9011287
703042-101990
692942-110793
682943-100595
672944-9397
662844-100298
652744-11199
642745-10397
632746-9199
0-62100
Total:343434343434343522333333333333