St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Beat NY Rangers 3-1, playoff odds up 4.5 to 50.4%
2 points   1 2-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
St. Louis 3 NY Rangers 1 +4.1
+0.4
+0.4
Arizona 2 Philadelphia 4 +0.4
Columbus 4 San Jose 1 +0.4
Tampa Bay 2 New Jersey 0 *+0.0
Washington 3 NY Islanders 0 *+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Vancouver vs Carolina-0.3*-0.1*-0.3*-0.0*-0.0+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
121-160InYes100130*
1205516-8In97.4%97339*
118-119In99.0100208*
1175418-7In98.1991155*
1165217-10In95.29811273*
1155218-9In94.79811413*
1145219-8In93.19721567*
1135119-9In88.795320808*
1125120-8In82.5914401,133*
1115020-9In77.2886501,613*
1105021-8In68.2848702,131*
1094921-9In58.778111002,980*
1084922-8In48.4721413013,716*
1074822-9In37.96517170104,908*
1064722-10In25.1542221026,233*
1054723-9In17.24625251307,817*
1044623-10In9.5352830250009,457*
1034624-9In4.72729333701011,322*
1024524-10100.0%1.9192933611020013,567*
1014525-9In0.5112833101503015,876*
1004425-10100.00.1724291420141018,531*
994426-999.90.03202418243710020,701*
984326-1099.80.021517212651120023,281*
974327-999.5No11111232691541026,092*
964227-1098.6No07721221420710027,694*
954228-996.5No0431817182312310030,324*
944128-1092.3No0311412212418610032,013*
934129-984.1No01010721212312410033,079*
924029-1071.7No1063191725188200033,982*
914030-956.1No0041151224241451034,601*
903930-1039.8No00201171927211020034,396*
893931-925.1No0010741325261661033,614*
883831-1014.0No000418202823123032,175*
873832-97.0No000214132628196131,075*
863732-103.1No00102820302511228,903*
853733-91.2No0101414273118426,887*
843633-100.4No00028223326824,449*
833634-90.2No000151632331322,441*
823534-100.1No000021028392019,611*
813535-90.0No001623412817,262*
803435-100.0No000317413915,163*
793436-9OutNo0212394712,734*
783336-10OutNo018345710,650*
773337-9OutNo00530658,913*
763237-10OutNo0324737,123*
753238-9OutNo0119795,813*
743138-10OutNo0115844,610*
733139-9OutNo011893,618*
723039-10OutNo08922,833*
713040-9OutNo06942,037*
702940-10OutNo5951,573*
692941-9OutNo3971,152*
682841-10OutNo298868*
672842-9OutNo199596*
662843-8OutNo199459*
652743-9OutNo0100289*
642643-10OutNo0100220*
632745-7OutNo100135*
622443-12OutNo19992*
2-61OutNo100205*
Total:50.4%2.3%56667777888899713,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis 3 NY Rangers 1 -0.9
Chicago 1 Nashville 0 (so)*+0.1
Colorado 1 Dallas 2 *-0.0
Arizona 2 Philadelphia 4 -0.0
Washington 3 NY Islanders 0 *-0.0
Columbus 4 San Jose 1 -0.0
SundayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121-160100
1205516-8973
1195416-9991
1185417-8991
1175418-79811
1165217-1095311
1155218-995311
1145219-893421
1135119-9896320
1125120-8839440
1115020-97711650
1105021-868168070
1094921-959201101000
1084922-8482414013001
1074822-93827161170010
1064722-10252920220102
1054723-917292232321300
1044623-101026234254250000
1034624-95222272483070010
1024524-10217191021126011102000
1014525-901114141716901410300
1004425-1006915101913117314010
994426-9035155191531872070100
984326-10022132151561512501012000
974327-9111001112101016801324010
964227-100070681351712214670100
954228-90040341421613513111013100
944128-10003121201112981613461000
934129-90010190781341813101041000
924029-1010060341511681713941000
914030-900041213011420121510520000
903930-100002001007118714171373100
893931-9001007401338161916941000
883831-10000041081391621181151000
873832-9000021040139172220136200
863732-100010200139172321146200
853733-9010100149182422146200
843633-1000000014918242314510
833634-900000014102026221240
823534-10000000151323282081
813535-9000027162728164
803435-100013102331258
793436-90001516313314
783336-1000210263823
773337-9015204033
763237-10003144043
753238-900193654
743138-10163064
733139-9032473
723039-100021880
713040-9011485
702940-1001288
692941-900892
682841-100595
672842-90496
662843-8199
652743-9199
642643-10199
632745-7100
622443-12199
2-61100
Total:233333333434343533333444444444