Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Lost to Columbus 1-4, playoff odds down 4.8 to 50.7%
1 points   0 1-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Columbus 4 San Jose 1 -4.8
-0.9
-0.5
Arizona 2 Philadelphia 4 *+0.4
+0.0
Pittsburgh 2 Anaheim 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
NY Islanders vs Anaheim+0.4*+0.1*+0.1*-0.5-0.7*-0.3
+0.0+0.0*+0.0*-0.1-0.1-0.0
Vancouver vs Carolina-0.4*-0.3*-0.2*+0.1*+0.1+0.5
Edmonton vs Buffalo-0.4*-0.3*-0.4*+0.0*+0.0+0.5
-0.0-0.0-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
120-161InYes100206*
1195517-8In97.6%99183*
1185417-9In98.4991122*
1175418-8In93.59712199*
1165318-9In96.59811316*
1155319-8In95.29820434*
1145219-9In93.09722586*
1135220-8In87.29522898*
1125120-9In82.1924401,237*
1115121-8In77.4886601,750*
1105021-9In68.5858702,218*
1095022-8In58.87911903,054*
1084922-9In48.6721512003,897*
1074923-8In36.6641817015,119*
1064823-9In26.05522210106,444*
1054824-8In17.24625251307,987*
1044724-9In9.036283025009,753*
1034725-8In4.42629324801011,615*
1024625-9In1.618293471101014,041*
1014525-10100.0%0.51128331015120016,302*
1004526-9100.00.1624291420150018,375*
994426-1099.90.0320241924371021,207*
984427-999.90.01161722265112023,882*
974327-1099.6No11111232591540025,877*
964328-998.6No076222214197100027,850*
954228-1096.4No0431917192312310030,205*
944229-991.6No0211511222317710031,894*
934129-1083.6No010107222123123100033,230*
924130-970.9No107319172419820034,130*
914030-1055.7No00411611242414510034,202*
904031-938.9No00201161927211030034,013*
893931-1024.8No010731324261761033,301*
883932-913.7No000418192824123032,108*
873832-106.8No00314132629196130,632*
863833-93.0No00102719302612228,477*
853733-101.2No0101413273119426,674*
843734-90.5No00028223326824,284*
833634-100.2No000141632341422,032*
823635-90.1No000021028382119,561*
813535-100.0No0001622422917,224*
803536-90.0No000316423814,770*
793436-10OutNo0212394712,450*
783437-9OutNo017355710,552*
773337-10OutNo00530658,813*
763338-9OutNo00324747,160*
753238-10OutNo0220785,726*
743239-9OutNo0115844,644*
733139-10OutNo010893,596*
723140-9OutNo008912,775*
713040-10OutNo06942,140*
703041-9OutNo04961,561*
692941-10OutNo3971,168*
682942-9OutNo298816*
672842-10OutNo199609*
662843-9OutNo298398*
652743-10OutNo199314*
642845-7OutNo100210*
632745-8OutNo199115*
1-62OutNo100304*
Total:50.7%2.4%56666777788899713,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus 4 San Jose 1 +1.1
Chicago 1 Nashville 0 (so)*+0.1
Arizona 2 Philadelphia 4 -0.1
Minnesota 3 Winnipeg 2 *-0.1
Pittsburgh 2 Anaheim 3 +0.0
St. Louis 3 NY Rangers 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders vs Anaheim-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.2+0.0
Edmonton vs Buffalo+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Carolina+0.1*+0.1*+0.0-0.0*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120-161100
1195517-89811
1185417-99811
1175418-893412
1165318-997211
1155319-895320
1145219-993422
1135220-887822
1125120-982104040
1115121-877116060
1105021-969168070
1095022-85920110900
1084922-9492415012000
1074923-8372717117101
1064823-926292111910100
1054824-817292232321300
1044724-992723525525000
1034725-84222182484070010
1024625-92161911221270101010
1014525-100101414161710013212000
1004526-9061015101913116315000
994426-10035155191531773070100
984427-901313215157141150101200
974327-10111001013101015911334000
964328-900706814518122146701000
954228-100040341421614512111123100
944229-9002121301112108151346200
934129-100010190781441713101141000
924130-91006341511581613104100000
914030-1000041214011321121411520000
904031-90002011106118614171373100
893931-10010070301338151916941000
883932-90000401081391621191252000
873832-10000310401391621211462000
863833-9000102001391622221572000
853733-10010100138172323157200
843734-90000013918242314610
833634-1000000014101926231240
823635-9000000141223282192
813535-100000026162729174
803536-9000292232259
793436-10001416303315
783437-9029253924
773337-10015204134
763338-9003133846
753238-100193555
743239-9153064
733139-100032374
723140-9012079
713040-1011585
703041-901189
692941-100891
682942-9496
672842-10496
662742-11397
652743-10199
642845-7199
632745-8298
1-62100
Total:233333343434343533333344444444