"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Beat Arizona 4-2, playoff odds up 4.6 to 50.5%
2 points   1 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Arizona 2 Philadelphia 4 +4.1
+0.6
+0.4
Tampa Bay 2 New Jersey 0 +0.7
+0.1
St. Louis 3 NY Rangers 1 +0.6
+0.1
Pittsburgh 2 Anaheim 3 +0.6
+0.1
Columbus 4 San Jose 1 -0.4
-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Vancouver vs Carolina+0.5*+0.5*-0.1*-0.4*-0.3-0.4
NY Islanders vs Anaheim-0.3*-0.2*-0.5*-0.2*+0.2+0.4
Edmonton vs Buffalo+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.1*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
119-162In99.5%100401*
1185418-8In97.11000210*
1175318-9In96.69820319*
1165319-8In95.99811461*
1155219-9In94.99821663*
1145220-8In91.69622926*
1135120-9In88.695321,277*
1125121-8In82.092531,671*
1115021-9In76.789652,282*
1104921-10In68.38586003,042*
1094922-9In58.178139003,901*
1084923-8In47.9721611005,132*
1074823-9In36.86320160106,314*
1064723-10In25.55424201207,792*
1054724-9In16.945272413009,622*
1044624-10In9.93530282500011,816*
1034625-9In4.32533304701013,990*
1024525-10100.0%1.8163331811010016,249*
1014526-9100.00.61030301214120018,684*
1004426-10100.00.1526261719241021,166*
994427-999.90.03212022224710023,646*
984327-1099.7No11613252371120025,908*
974328-999.0No011825221215510027,996*
964228-1097.2No0742318171992000030,167*
954229-993.3No0521912222014510031,798*
944129-1085.1No021147231919113100033,433*
934130-971.6No1093221521178210034,041*
924030-1054.8No106118102022156200034,360*
914031-937.1No003013515242112410034,157*
903931-1022.1No010821020251910310033,168*
893932-911.5No01051514242517720032,075*
883832-105.3No00030281826241451030,558*
873833-92.1No0101412222721102028,808*
863733-100.8No010016162627166126,394*
853734-90.3No000031021302410224,354*
843634-100.1No00001515282917421,939*
833635-90.0No000029233325819,425*
823535-100.0No000151632331317,056*
813536-9OutNo00021028382014,757*
803436-10OutNo001623412912,642*
793437-9OutNo00316423810,616*
783337-10OutNo021139498,864*
773338-9OutNo01734587,045*
763238-10OutNo0429675,827*
753239-9OutNo0323744,591*
743139-10OutNo0219803,576*
733140-9OutNo0114852,746*
723040-10OutNo0110892,061*
713041-9OutNo07931,556*
702941-10OutNo06941,144*
692841-11OutNo397880*
682842-10OutNo397569*
672843-9OutNo298445*
662844-8OutNo298311*
2-65OutNo100709*
Total:50.5%3.1%6767676666666666713,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona 2 Philadelphia 4 -0.9
Tampa Bay 2 New Jersey 0 -0.1
St. Louis 3 NY Rangers 1 -0.1
Pittsburgh 2 Anaheim 3 -0.1
Colorado 1 Dallas 2 *-0.1
Columbus 4 San Jose 1 +0.1
Chicago 1 Nashville 0 (so)*+0.0
Vancouver 2 Calgary 1 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Carolina-0.1*-0.1*+0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
NY Islanders vs Anaheim+0.0*+0.1*+0.1+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Edmonton vs Buffalo-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.1*+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120-162100
1195417-9982
1185418-89720
1175318-997220
1165319-896211
1155219-995321
1145220-892522
1135120-989632
1125121-8821053
1115021-9771365
1104921-10681780600
1094922-958201309000
1084923-8482416011000
1074823-93727191150010
1064723-102528231191120
1054724-9172825322213000
1044624-101025255244250000
1034625-94202582464070010
1024525-1021522112110801000100
1014526-91101614161312013112000
1004426-10051116101616116224010
994427-90361551519317540701000
984327-101313211186159701102000
974328-90110071510101212113250100
964228-100070410135131521549020000
954229-9004025132101841371315100
944129-100021211071589101631041000
934130-90101803101241115616931000
924030-100100501512199101816830000
914031-90003021105411152116821000
903931-1000101802199192216831000
893932-9001005105311202218104100
883832-100000300214111923201252000
873833-900100101410192320136200
863733-100100001410182321146200
853734-900000149182322146200
843634-10000000141018242214510
833635-90000014102026231240
823535-10000151222272191
813536-90026162728164
803436-100003102232258
793437-901516313315
783337-100029273923
773338-9015194133
763238-1002134044
753239-901103455
743139-10163064
733140-9032473
723040-10021979
713041-911386
702941-1001189
692841-11793
682842-10694
672843-9595
662844-8397
652744-9199
642745-8199
632645-9298
2-62100
Total:334333433343323244444333333333