Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

New York Rangers Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Lost to St. Louis 1-3, playoff odds down 5 to 40.8%
0 points   0 2-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
St. Louis 3 NY Rangers 1 -4.9
-0.7
-0.6
Pittsburgh 2 Anaheim 3 +0.5
+0.1
Columbus 4 San Jose 1 *-0.2
*-0.0
Chicago 1 Nashville 0 (so)*+0.0
Ottawa 5 Montreal 6 (ot)*-0.0
Tampa Bay 2 New Jersey 0 +0.0
Toronto 3 Boston 2 *+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Vancouver vs Carolina+0.4*+0.3*+0.1*+0.2*-0.7-0.4
+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Edmonton vs Buffalo+0.0*-0.0*+0.1*-0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
121-160InYes100115*
1205616-8In97.1%97335*
1195617-7In98.298256*
1185517-8InYes10085*
1175417-9In96.8982126*
1165418-8In96.3991215*
1155318-9In94.39901296*
1145319-8In92.19622444*
1135219-9In87.99523637*
1125220-8In82.593430886*
1115120-9In76.988841,243*
1105121-8In66.18310701,615*
1095021-9In57.2761310002,306*
1085022-8In46.37016130102,962*
1074922-9In37.56319170103,970*
1064923-8In26.05523201205,077*
1054823-9In16.745262413006,380*
1044824-8In9.533302925007,889*
1034724-9In4.5243231580109,803*
1024624-10In1.416313281102011,757*
1014625-9100.0%0.51028301216130013,810*
1004525-10100.00.1525261720251016,333*
994526-999.90.03202021234810018,498*
984426-1099.7No11513242471230021,060*
974427-998.8No0118242212166100023,583*
964327-1097.1No074221817201020025,950*
954328-992.8No0411712222115610028,609*
944228-1083.5No02013723192011410030,317*
934229-970.8No1083211522179300031,627*
924129-1053.8No00511710202315620032,963*
914130-935.4No003012515242213510033,727*
904030-1020.6No0108292025201031034,016*
894031-910.4No01041514242517720033,700*
883931-104.9No0020281726241451033,432*
873932-91.9No0101411222721103032,079*
863832-100.7No010016152627176130,815*
853833-90.3No00003921302411228,925*
843733-100.1No00001514283017426,878*
833734-90.0No000029233325824,183*
823634-10OutNo00151631331422,055*
813635-9OutNo0021028392119,529*
803535-10OutNo001622413017,099*
793536-9OutNo00316404014,919*
783436-10OutNo00111384912,605*
773437-9OutNo017345710,566*
763337-10OutNo0428678,790*
753338-9OutNo00322757,130*
743238-10OutNo0218805,699*
733239-9OutNo0113864,624*
723139-10OutNo010893,557*
713140-9OutNo08922,871*
703040-10OutNo05952,050*
693041-9OutNo03961,662*
682941-10OutNo3971,159*
672942-9OutNo199858*
662842-10OutNo199587*
652742-11OutNo199419*
0-64OutNo100959*
Total:40.8%1.8%4546565666777889713,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis 3 NY Rangers 1 +1.1
Pittsburgh 2 Anaheim 3 -0.1
Ottawa 5 Montreal 6 (ot)*+0.1
Arizona 2 Philadelphia 4 +0.1
Tampa Bay 2 New Jersey 0 -0.0
Columbus 4 San Jose 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Edmonton vs Buffalo+0.0*+0.1*-0.1*+0.0+0.1-0.0
Vancouver vs Carolina-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.1+0.1
NY Islanders vs Anaheim+0.0*-0.0*+0.1*+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121-160100
1205616-8973
1195617-7982
1185517-8100
1175417-99722
1165418-89621
1155318-994501
1145319-892422
1135219-988723
1125220-88310430
1115120-9771184
1105121-86617100700
1095021-9571913010000
1085022-84623160130010
1074922-93826181160010
1064923-82629211191120
1054823-9172823322213000
1044824-892425525425000
1034724-95192482575070010
1024624-1011421112210701100200
1014625-9091513161512014113000
1004525-100510151116161173205010
994526-9036145151831764801000
984426-101312212186159701113000
974427-90110171591012120142601000
964327-1000604101251316216490200
954328-90040151221118413814162000
944228-10002021006158910173114100
934229-9101803101141115716931000
924129-10000501512191010191682000
914130-90003002100541116211683100
904030-100010170218819231793100
894031-90010040105311192318104100
883931-10000200214111923191252000
873932-9001001014101823201362000
863832-1001000001410172322146200
853833-9000000139182422156200
843733-100000013918242314610
833734-9000014112026221241
823634-10000151223272192
813635-900016162828164
803535-1000292232258
793536-9001515313315
783436-1000210263924
773437-90015204033
763337-1003143845
753338-90193455
743238-10153064
733239-9032374
723139-10021880
713140-911486
703040-100990
693041-90793
682941-10595
672942-9397
662842-10298
652742-11298
642743-10199
632744-9199
0-62100
Total:222322333233323244444444444555