New York Islanders Playoff Chances 2016-2017

Lost to Washington 0-3, playoff odds down 7.9 to 54.8%
2 points   1 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Washington 3 NY Islanders 0 -4.4
-1.2
-0.5
St. Louis 3 NY Rangers 1 +0.4
Pittsburgh 2 Anaheim 3 +0.4
+0.0
Columbus 4 San Jose 1 -0.3
-0.0
Arizona 2 Philadelphia 4 -0.3
-0.1
Ottawa 5 Montreal 6 (ot)*-0.3
*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
NY Islanders vs Anaheim+3.5+3.7+2.7-1.2-1.0-5.5
+0.7+0.5+0.5-0.2-0.4-1.1
+0.4+0.4+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.6
Vancouver vs Carolina+0.4*-0.2*+0.1-0.6*-0.4-0.4
+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0
Edmonton vs Buffalo+0.2*+0.2*-0.0*-0.3*-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
121-162In99.6%100693*
1205517-8In99.41000311*
1195518-7In98.31000476*
1185418-8In97.99900768*
1175318-9In95.998111,094*
1165319-8In96.198111,596*
1155219-9In93.597222,255*
1145220-8In89.396223,312*
1135120-9In86.3943304,411*
1125121-8In80.4924406,063*
1115021-9In74.2886607,991*
1105022-8In65.984980010,719*
1094922-9In55.77712100013,876*
1084923-8In45.071151301017,582*
1074823-9In33.562191801021,924*
1064824-8In23.453232202027,407*
1054724-9In14.6422726130033,051*
1044624-10In8.03329293500038,918*
1034625-9In3.72431325801046,500*
1024525-10100.0%1.4163133812010053,567*
1014526-9100.00.4929311216130060,938*
1004426-10100.00.1525261720240068,598*
994427-999.90.03202122234710075,440*
984327-1099.70.011514252481120083,117*
974328-999.1No010825221215510088,711*
964228-1097.5No074231818199200093,868*
954229-993.5No04219122320145100098,053*
944129-1085.9No021147241919103100100,150*
934130-973.6No10932315221672000101,145*
924030-1057.1No10611910202214610000101,232*
914031-939.1No003014616232112410099,202*
903931-1023.7No00209310202519930095,815*
893932-912.6No001061515242516620091,999*
883832-105.9No00030281927231341086,943*
873833-92.5No00020141223272082080,381*
863733-101.0No010026172726155172,867*
853734-90.4No000013112230239165,854*
843634-100.1No000001616292916358,918*
833635-90.0No0000310243323651,453*
823535-100.0No000151833311244,434*
813536-90.0No00031229371837,382*
803436-10OutNo001724412631,657*
793437-9OutNo001418413626,292*
783337-100.0No000213404521,546*
773338-9OutNo0018365517,083*
763238-10OutNo005316313,494*
753239-9OutNo03257210,523*
743139-10OutNo0220788,142*
733140-9OutNo00116836,173*
723040-10OutNo112884,755*
713041-9OutNo09913,406*
702941-10OutNo06942,506*
692942-9OutNo05951,693*
682943-8OutNo2981,308*
672843-9OutNo298870*
662743-10OutNo199557*
652744-9OutNo0100428*
642644-10OutNo100273*
632645-9OutNo199191*
2-62OutNo100469*
Total:54.8%3.4%77786866666666552,100,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington 3 NY Islanders 0 +1.0
Arizona 2 Philadelphia 4 +0.1
Pittsburgh 2 Anaheim 3 -0.1
St. Louis 3 NY Rangers 1 -0.1
Tampa Bay 2 New Jersey 0 -0.1
Columbus 4 San Jose 1 +0.1
Ottawa 5 Montreal 6 (ot)+0.0
Colorado 1 Dallas 2 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders vs Anaheim-0.8-0.7-0.6+0.2+0.2+1.2
Vancouver vs Carolina-0.1+0.1*-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
125-162100
1245715-8982
122-123100
1215617-7991
1205517-89900
1195518-79810
1185418-898100
1175318-996211
1165319-896211
1155219-993322
1145220-889722
1135120-9867330
1125121-88011440
1115021-974146060
1105022-86618908000
1094922-9562212010000
1084923-84526150130010
1074823-93329181171010
1064824-82330212201020
1054724-9152724323313000
1044624-108252452553050000
1034625-94202282485080010
1024525-10114191221118011101000
1014526-9091514161512014113000
1004426-1005915917161173204000
994427-90351541618417640701000
984327-1001312212187159801112000
974328-9019081411101312113250100
964228-1000604913513162154802000
954229-90040251421118513813151000
944129-10002121107159911163103100
934130-9010180310124111571583100
924030-1001005015141910101815720000
914031-9000302120541215211572000
903931-10000201802199192216831000
893932-90010050105311202217931000
883832-1000003000214122023191141000
873833-900001001014111923201251000
863733-100100001411182321135200
853734-9000000001410192421135100
843634-100000000141119252112510
833635-90000015122126211030
823535-10000151424271971
813536-9000028182827143
803436-1000013112432227
793437-90001617323113
783337-10000311283721
773338-900016224030
763238-10003154041
753239-901103751
743139-100163162
733140-90042669
723040-10022077
713041-911683
702941-1011188
692942-91991
682943-8595
672843-90496
662743-10298
652744-9199
642644-10100
632645-9199
2-62100
Total:344443444343334244443333333332