Florida Panthers Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Beat Detroit 3-2, playoff odds up 4.2 to 49.5%
2 points   1 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Florida 3 Detroit 2 +4.3
+0.6
+0.5
Arizona 2 Philadelphia 4 -0.5
-0.1
St. Louis 3 NY Rangers 1 *+0.3
*+0.0
Washington 3 NY Islanders 0 *+0.0
Ottawa 5 Montreal 6 (ot)*-0.0
Pittsburgh 2 Anaheim 3 *+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Edmonton vs Buffalo+0.5*-0.2*+0.0*-0.2*+0.1-0.5
+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.0
NY Islanders vs Anaheim-0.0*+0.0*-0.0*+0.1*-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
120-162InYes100273*
1195518-7In98.4%991123*
1185418-8In97.29901216*
1175318-9In96.29911292*
1165319-8In96.59910403*
1155320-7In95.69821657*
1145220-8In92.997120859*
1135120-9In87.193431,201*
1125121-8In83.0924501,680*
1115021-9In76.1886602,247*
1105022-8In68.88587003,038*
1094922-9In58.5771111003,919*
1084822-10In48.9721314015,018*
1074823-9In37.26316190106,399*
1064723-10In26.35420231207,952*
1054724-9In16.6432427140009,740*
1044624-10In9.1342631261011,602*
1034625-9In4.324283341001013,783*
1024525-10100.0%1.7162634614020016,362*
1014526-9100.00.51024321018140018,784*
1004426-1099.90.2521271423271021,185*
994427-999.80.031621182631020023,982*
984327-1099.40.011214202761541026,001*
974328-998.6No0882025101971028,101*
964228-1096.3No054181915231230030,044*
954229-991.8No03214141824186200031,702*
944129-1082.8No2110819222312410033,256*
934130-968.6No10631617242092000033,821*
924030-1052.4No00411311232415620034,088*
914031-934.5No002096172522124100033,935*
903931-1019.7No01063102226201031033,162*
893932-99.7No00031515252517720031,764*
883832-104.1No0010281926241341030,749*
873833-91.6No00101412222721102029,063*
863733-100.6No00026162626175126,960*
853734-90.2No000131022292310224,462*
843634-100.1No0001515283017421,941*
833635-90.0No00029223325719,571*
823535-100.0No000151732321317,207*
813536-9OutNo0021129382014,678*
803436-10OutNo01623412812,501*
793437-9OutNo00416413910,379*
783337-10OutNo0021239478,822*
773338-9OutNo01833587,096*
763238-10OutNo0529665,725*
753239-9OutNo0324734,711*
743139-10OutNo0118803,554*
733140-9OutNo0115842,821*
723040-10OutNo011892,143*
713041-9OutNo07931,520*
702941-10OutNo06941,238*
692942-9OutNo0396863*
682842-10OutNo0397590*
672843-9OutNo298402*
662743-10OutNo199287*
652643-11OutNo199193*
642644-10OutNo199148*
632645-9OutNo199108*
2-62OutNo100219*
Total:49.5%3.1%6666757776666666713,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 3 Detroit 2 -0.9
Arizona 2 Philadelphia 4 +0.1
Tampa Bay 2 New Jersey 0 +0.1
Colorado 1 Dallas 2 *+0.0
Ottawa 5 Montreal 6 (ot)*+0.0
St. Louis 3 NY Rangers 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders vs Anaheim+0.0*-0.1*+0.0-0.1*+0.0-0.0
Edmonton vs Buffalo-0.1*+0.1*+0.0+0.1*-0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Carolina-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120-162100
1195518-79811
1185418-897101
1175318-996211
1165319-897210
1155320-796221
1145220-8934120
1135120-987643
1125121-8839450
1115021-976126060
1105022-86916807000
1094922-9581811011000
1084822-10492313014001
1074823-93726161190010
1064723-102628191221120
1054724-91727222252140000
1044624-1092522427426010
1034625-94202172674090010
1024525-102151792311601310200
1014526-90101311171510017114000
1004426-1005913111713120327010
994427-90351151616220630100200
984327-10012102121551710601414010
974328-90171812811131001727010
964228-1000504810614131185120300
954229-90030241021214416917162000
944129-1001128071271012194124100
934130-91016037951317818931000
924030-10000301410191112201782100
914031-900020180651217221682100
903931-10010050319919231783100
893932-90000301053112023181041000
883832-100001000214111923191151000
873833-900010101410182321136200
863733-10000001410182321147200
853734-90000001310182422146200
843634-1000000131019242313510
833635-9000014112026221240
823535-100000151223282181
813536-900026172728164
803436-100013102232258
793437-9001415313315
783337-1000210273823
773338-9015204034
763238-10003143944
753239-900293554
743139-10152965
733140-9032472
723040-1021980
713041-911386
702941-1001089
692942-900792
682842-100594
672843-9397
662743-10496
652643-11397
642644-10199
632645-9298
622646-8100
612546-9298
2-60100
Total:333333324332434344444433333333