"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50

Beat San Jose 4-1, playoff odds up 4.7 to 50.4%
2 points   1 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Columbus 4 San Jose 1 +4.0
+0.5
+0.4
Arizona 2 Philadelphia 4 -0.6
-0.1
St. Louis 3 NY Rangers 1 +0.6
Pittsburgh 2 Anaheim 3 +0.5
+0.1
Vancouver 2 Calgary 1 *+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
NY Islanders vs Anaheim-0.3-1.2-0.8*+0.3*+0.2+0.5
-0.0-0.1*-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Carolina+0.4*+0.3*+0.3*-0.4*-0.5-0.3
+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.1-0.0
Edmonton vs Buffalo+0.3*+0.3*-0.1*-0.1*+0.3-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
118-162In99.4%100636*
1175419-7In97.7991310*
1165319-8In96.49910474*
1155219-9In93.59811587*
1145119-10In89.19632917*
1135120-9In89.395321,211*
1125121-8In83.592531,614*
1115021-9In75.9888402,338*
1105022-8In67.9849703,001*
1094922-9In59.078129003,948*
1084923-8In48.2711712005,112*
1074823-9In36.96320150106,588*
1064723-10In26.25424190207,946*
1054724-9In17.344292313009,748*
1044624-10In9.43431272500011,792*
1034625-9In4.42533304701013,982*
1024525-10In1.616333181001016,109*
1014526-9In0.5103030121513018,466*
1004426-1099.9%0.2527261719251021,071*
994427-999.90.03222022224710023,565*
984327-1099.6No117132524711200025,982*
974328-999.0No011825221215510028,120*
964228-1097.1No074231817199200030,125*
954229-993.2No0421912212114510031,819*
944129-1085.0No02114723191911310033,034*
934130-972.0No1093221521178210033,639*
924030-1055.1No10511810202214620034,301*
914031-937.5No003013515242112510034,142*
903931-1022.2No002082102025209310033,303*
893932-911.5No01051514232517720032,132*
883832-105.4No0030281826231451030,775*
873833-92.2No0010141122272192029,015*
863733-100.9No010016162727165126,891*
853734-90.3No0000031022292311224,145*
843634-100.1No0001515283017422,121*
833635-90.0No00029233325819,720*
823535-100.0No000151732321317,218*
813536-90.0No00031129372014,811*
803436-10OutNo01622422812,519*
793437-9OutNo00317413810,324*
783337-10OutNo0021239478,836*
773338-9OutNo01734577,070*
763238-10OutNo0529665,705*
753239-9OutNo00224734,524*
743139-10OutNo0219803,501*
733140-9OutNo0114852,698*
723040-10OutNo011892,074*
713041-9OutNo08921,666*
702941-10OutNo05951,140*
692942-9OutNo595788*
682842-10OutNo496589*
672843-9OutNo298463*
662844-8OutNo199263*
652845-7OutNo199247*
2-64OutNo100425*
Total:50.4%3.1%6767676666666666713,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus 4 San Jose 1 -0.9
Arizona 2 Philadelphia 4 +0.1
St. Louis 3 NY Rangers 1 -0.1
Pittsburgh 2 Anaheim 3 -0.1
Tampa Bay 2 New Jersey 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders vs Anaheim+0.0*+0.2+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Carolina-0.1*-0.0-0.0*+0.1*+0.1+0.0
Edmonton vs Buffalo-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
120-162100
1195417-9991
1185418-8991
1175419-79821
1165319-896210
1155219-994411
1145119-1089632
1135120-989632
1125121-883953
1115021-976128400
1105022-868169070
1094922-959191209000
1084923-8482316012000
1074823-93726201151010
1064723-102628232181020
1054724-917262632121300
1044624-10925265244250000
1034625-94202582474070010
1024525-102152111201180100010
1014526-9010171316141201411300
1004426-100511161016151162204010
994427-9036155151931754070100
984327-1013132121861597010120000
974328-90110081510101212013250100
964228-10007041013512162154902000
954229-900426132101741381315100
944129-10002121107158910163104100
934130-9010180310124111561693100
924030-100100501513181010191682000
914031-9000302110541116201683100
903931-1000020180218919221783100
893932-9001005105310192318104100
883832-10000300214111923191152000
873833-900001001014101823211362000
863733-10010000139182322146200
853734-9000000149172422146200
843634-100000141018252313510
833635-9000014112026231240
823535-1000000151224282081
813536-9000026172728164
803436-1001392233258
793437-9001516313314
783337-10000210263823
773338-90015204133
763238-1003143844
753239-90193654
743139-10153163
733140-90032373
723040-1021980
713041-911485
702941-10001188
692942-90991
682842-10595
672843-9595
662844-8199
652845-7298
2-64100
Total:334333433343324244444433333333