Calgary Flames Playoff Chances 2016-2017 50/50Lost to Vancouver 1-2, playoff odds down 5.1 to 50.3% 2 points 1 2-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Saturday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Pres Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed | Vancouver 2 Calgary 1 | -5.2 | | -0.8 | | -0.5 | | Arizona 2 Philadelphia 4 | +0.6 | | | | +0.1 | | Columbus 4 San Jose 1 | +0.5 | | | | +0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Sunday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Pres Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed | Vancouver vs Carolina | -0.4*-0.5*-0.4*+0.5*+0.3+0.4 | | | | | | NY Islanders vs Anaheim | +0.4*+0.3*+0.1*-0.3*-0.1-0.4 | | | | | | Edmonton vs Buffalo | -0.3*-0.4*-0.1*+0.0*-0.2+0.4 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Pres | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 118 | -160 | | In | 99.4 | % | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 345 | * | 117 | | 54 | 18 | - | 7 | In | 99.0 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 195 | * | 116 | | 53 | 18 | - | 8 | In | 95.0 | | 98 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 262 | * | 115 | | 52 | 18 | - | 9 | In | 95.7 | | 97 | 1 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 418 | * | 114 | | 51 | 18 | - | 10 | In | 88.6 | | 95 | 3 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 590 | * | 113 | | 51 | 19 | - | 9 | In | 88.7 | | 95 | 2 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 856 | * | 112 | | 51 | 20 | - | 8 | In | 82.3 | | 92 | 5 | 3 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,134 | * | 111 | | 50 | 20 | - | 9 | In | 76.1 | | 87 | 7 | 6 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,583 | * | 110 | | 50 | 21 | - | 8 | In | 68.2 | | 84 | 8 | 7 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,126 | * | 109 | | 49 | 21 | - | 9 | In | 59.9 | | 78 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,834 | * | 108 | | 49 | 22 | - | 8 | In | 47.2 | | 72 | 15 | 13 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,747 | * | 107 | | 48 | 22 | - | 9 | In | 37.1 | | 63 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 4,974 | * | 106 | | 48 | 23 | - | 8 | In | 26.2 | | 56 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 6,014 | * | 105 | | 47 | 23 | - | 9 | In | 16.8 | | 47 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 3 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 7,560 | * | 104 | | 47 | 24 | - | 8 | In | 9.1 | | 36 | 27 | 29 | 2 | 5 | | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 9,418 | * | 103 | | 46 | 24 | - | 9 | In | 4.6 | | 27 | 29 | 32 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 11,439 | * | 102 | | 45 | 24 | - | 10 | In | 1.9 | | 19 | 29 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 13,568 | * | 101 | | 45 | 25 | - | 9 | 100.0 | % | 0.6 | | 12 | 28 | 33 | 10 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 15,900 | * | 100 | | 45 | 26 | - | 8 | 100.0 | | 0.1 | | 7 | 24 | 30 | 14 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 18,235 | * | 99 | | 44 | 26 | - | 9 | 99.9 | | 0.0 | | 3 | 20 | 24 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 20,657 | * | 98 | | 43 | 26 | - | 10 | 99.8 | | 0.0 | | 2 | 15 | 17 | 21 | 26 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | 23,611 | * | 97 | | 43 | 27 | - | 9 | 99.5 | | No | 1 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 25 | 9 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 25,898 | * | 96 | | 42 | 27 | - | 10 | 98.7 | | No | 0 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 23 | 14 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 28,144 | * | 95 | | 42 | 28 | - | 9 | 96.4 | | No | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 30,005 | * | 94 | | 41 | 28 | - | 10 | 92.3 | | No | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 21 | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 31,693 | * | 93 | | 41 | 29 | - | 9 | 83.9 | | No | | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 32,966 | * | 92 | | 40 | 29 | - | 10 | 72.1 | | No | | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 34,019 | * | 91 | | 40 | 30 | - | 9 | 56.7 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 24 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 34,170 | * | 90 | | 39 | 30 | - | 10 | 39.9 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 27 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 34,175 | * | 89 | | 39 | 31 | - | 9 | 25.3 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | 33,441 | * | 88 | | 38 | 31 | - | 10 | 14.2 | | No | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | | | 32,657 | * | 87 | | 38 | 32 | - | 9 | 7.0 | | No | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 29 | 19 | 6 | 1 | | | 31,143 | * | 86 | | 37 | 32 | - | 10 | 3.2 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 2 | | | 29,337 | * | 85 | | 37 | 33 | - | 9 | 1.4 | | No | | 0 | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 4 | | | 27,032 | * | 84 | | 36 | 33 | - | 10 | 0.5 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 34 | 25 | 8 | | | 24,682 | * | 83 | | 36 | 34 | - | 9 | 0.2 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 32 | 33 | 13 | | | 22,118 | * | 82 | | 35 | 34 | - | 10 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 38 | 20 | | | 19,998 | * | 81 | | 35 | 35 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 41 | 28 | | | 17,354 | * | 80 | | 34 | 35 | - | 10 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 42 | 38 | | | 15,122 | * | 79 | | 34 | 36 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 39 | 47 | | | 12,841 | * | 78 | | 33 | 36 | - | 10 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 56 | | | 10,774 | * | 77 | | 33 | 37 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 29 | 66 | | | 8,905 | * | 76 | | 32 | 37 | - | 10 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 24 | 73 | | | 7,175 | * | 75 | | 32 | 38 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 79 | | | 5,885 | * | 74 | | 31 | 38 | - | 10 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 15 | 84 | | | 4,627 | * | 73 | | 31 | 39 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 88 | | | 3,636 | * | 72 | | 30 | 39 | - | 10 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 91 | | | 2,777 | * | 71 | | 30 | 40 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | | | 2,093 | * | 70 | | 29 | 40 | - | 10 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | | | 1,508 | * | 69 | | 29 | 41 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 96 | | | 1,149 | * | 68 | | 28 | 41 | - | 10 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | | | 854 | * | 67 | | 28 | 42 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | | | 584 | * | 66 | | 28 | 43 | - | 8 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | | | 385 | * | 65 | | 27 | 43 | - | 9 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | | | 312 | * | 64 | | 26 | 43 | - | 10 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 100 | | | 200 | * | 2 | -63 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | 415 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 50.3 | % | 2.2 | % | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | | | 713,540 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesSaturday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Vancouver 2 Calgary 1 | +1.1 | | Arizona 2 Philadelphia 4 | -0.1 | | Columbus 4 San Jose 1 | -0.1 | | Pittsburgh 2 Anaheim 3 | +0.1 | | Chicago 1 Nashville 0 (so) | -0.0 | | Colorado 1 Dallas 2 | -0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Sunday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | NY Islanders vs Anaheim | -0.1-0.0*-0.0*+0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | Vancouver vs Carolina | +0.1+0.1+0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.1 | | Edmonton vs Buffalo | +0.0*+0.1*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 120 | -160 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 119 | | 54 | 16 | - | 9 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 118 | | 54 | 17 | - | 8 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 117 | | 54 | 18 | - | 7 | 99 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 116 | | 53 | 18 | - | 8 | 95 | 3 | 1 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 115 | | 52 | 18 | - | 9 | 96 | 1 | 1 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 114 | | 51 | 18 | - | 10 | 89 | 6 | 3 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 113 | | 51 | 19 | - | 9 | 89 | 6 | 2 | | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 112 | | 51 | 20 | - | 8 | 82 | 9 | 5 | | 3 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 111 | | 50 | 20 | - | 9 | 76 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 0 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 110 | | 50 | 21 | - | 8 | 68 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 0 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 109 | | 49 | 21 | - | 9 | 60 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 108 | | 49 | 22 | - | 8 | 47 | 25 | 14 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 107 | | 48 | 22 | - | 9 | 37 | 26 | 17 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | 1 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 106 | | 48 | 23 | - | 8 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 2 | 19 | 1 | 1 | | 2 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 105 | | 47 | 23 | - | 9 | 17 | 30 | 22 | 3 | 22 | 2 | 1 | | 3 | 0 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 104 | | 47 | 24 | - | 8 | 9 | 27 | 23 | 5 | 25 | 4 | 2 | | 5 | 0 | | | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 103 | | 46 | 24 | - | 9 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 7 | 24 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | | 45 | 24 | - | 10 | 2 | 17 | 18 | 11 | 22 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | | 45 | 25 | - | 9 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 45 | 26 | - | 8 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 1 | | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | | 44 | 26 | - | 9 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 7 | 3 | | 7 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 98 | | 43 | 26 | - | 10 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 97 | | 43 | 27 | - | 9 | | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 96 | | 42 | 27 | - | 10 | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 95 | | 42 | 28 | - | 9 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 94 | | 41 | 28 | - | 10 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 93 | | 41 | 29 | - | 9 | | | 0 | 1 | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 92 | | 40 | 29 | - | 10 | | | | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 91 | | 40 | 30 | - | 9 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 90 | | 39 | 30 | - | 10 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 89 | | 39 | 31 | - | 9 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 88 | | 38 | 31 | - | 10 | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 87 | | 38 | 32 | - | 9 | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 22 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 86 | | 37 | 32 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 1 | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 23 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 85 | | 37 | 33 | - | 9 | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | | | | 1 | | 0 | | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 23 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 84 | | 36 | 33 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 83 | | 36 | 34 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 26 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 82 | | 35 | 34 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 81 | | 35 | 35 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 4 | 80 | | 34 | 35 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 8 | 79 | | 34 | 36 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 30 | 33 | 15 | 78 | | 33 | 36 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 39 | 23 | 77 | | 33 | 37 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 41 | 33 | 76 | | 32 | 37 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 39 | 44 | 75 | | 32 | 38 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 54 | 74 | | 31 | 38 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 64 | 73 | | 31 | 39 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 25 | 71 | 72 | | 30 | 39 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 79 | 71 | | 30 | 40 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 85 | 70 | | 29 | 40 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 90 | 69 | | 29 | 41 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 91 | 68 | | 28 | 41 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | 67 | | 28 | 42 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 66 | | 27 | 42 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 65 | | 27 | 43 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 64 | | 26 | 43 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 63 | | 26 | 44 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 2 | -62 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
|