Arizona Coyotes Playoff Chances 2016-2017

Lost to Philadelphia 2-4, playoff odds down 9.3 to 46.7%

0 points 0 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Arizona 2 Philadelphia 4	-5.3		-0.9		-0.5
Pittsburgh 2 Anaheim 3	-0.5				-0.1
Columbus 4 San Jose 1	+0.5				+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Vancouver vs Carolina	-0.3-0.1-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.6				-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Edmonton vs Buffalo	-0.3-0.4-0.2+0.1*+0.1+0.5
NY Islanders vs Anaheim	+0.4+0.3+0.0-0.5*-0.3-0.4				+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

122	-162						In		Yes		100																260	*
121		57	17		-	7	In		98.4	%	98		2														64	*
120		55	16		-	10	In		98.3		99	1															117	*
119		54	16		-	11	In		98.3		99	1															175	*
118		54	17		-	10	In		98.0		98	0	1														255	*
117		54	18		-	9	In		96.7		99	1															418	*
116		53	18		-	10	In		94.6		97	1	1														626	*
115		53	19		-	9	In		94.4		97	1	2														970	*
114		53	20		-	8	In		91.1		95	2	2														1,369	*
113		52	20		-	9	In		87.0		94	3	3														2,030	*
112		52	21		-	8	In		80.8		90	5	5		0												2,776	*
111		51	21		-	9	In		74.1		86	7	7		0												3,843	*
110		50	21		-	10	In		66.4		82	9	9	0	0												5,294	*
109		50	22		-	9	In		55.5		76	11	12	0	0												7,068	*
108		49	22		-	10	In		44.3		68	15	16	0	1												9,334	*
107		49	23		-	9	In		34.0		61	19	19	0	2												11,994	*
106		48	23		-	10	In		23.3		51	22	24	1	2		0										15,548	*
105		48	24		-	9	In		14.5		41	25	28	1	4		0										19,485	*
104		47	24		-	10	In		8.2		32	27	32	2	6	0	0	0									24,005	*
103		47	25		-	9	In		3.7		23	28	35	4	9	0	1	0									29,656	*
102		46	25		-	10	In		1.4		15	27	35	7	13	0	2	0									34,982	*
101		46	26		-	9	100.0	%	0.4		10	25	33	10	18	1	3	0	0								41,460	*
100		45	26		-	10	100.0		0.1		5	22	29	15	22	1	5	1	0								48,512	*
99		45	27		-	9	99.9		0.0		3	17	23	19	25	3	8	1	0								55,915	*
98		44	27		-	10	99.8		No		1	13	16	22	27	6	12	2	0	0							64,090	*
97		44	28		-	9	99.4		0.0		0	9	10	22	27	10	17	4	1	0							70,821	*
96		43	28		-	10	98.5		No		0	6	5	21	23	15	21	8	1	0	0						77,663	*
95		43	29		-	9	96.2		No		0	4	2	17	17	19	24	13	3	0	0	0					84,368	*
94		42	29		-	10	91.5		No		0	2	1	13	11	21	24	19	7	1	0	0	0				89,788	*
93		42	30		-	9	83.0		No		0	1	0	9	6	21	22	23	12	4	1	0	0				94,859	*
92		41	30		-	10	70.9		No			0	0	6	3	19	17	26	19	8	2	0	0				98,312	*
91		41	31		-	9	55.1		No			0	0	3	1	15	12	24	25	14	5	1	0	0			99,675	*
90		40	31		-	10	39.1		No			0	0	2	0	10	7	20	27	21	10	3	0	0			100,796	*
89		40	32		-	9	24.3		No			0		1	0	7	3	13	25	27	17	6	1	0			99,472	*
88		39	32		-	10	13.5		No			0		0	0	4	1	8	20	28	24	11	3	0			98,023	*
87		39	33		-	9	6.8		No			0	0	0	0	2	0	4	14	26	29	18	6	1			95,028	*
86		38	33		-	10	3.2		No					0		1	0	2	8	21	30	25	11	2			90,077	*
85		38	34		-	9	1.3		No					0		1	0	1	4	14	28	31	18	4			83,789	*
84		37	34		-	10	0.5		No					0		0	0	0	2	9	23	34	25	7			77,299	*
83		37	35		-	9	0.2		No					0		0	0	0	1	5	17	33	32	12			70,979	*
82		36	35		-	10	0.1		No					0		0		0	0	2	11	29	38	19			63,419	*
81		36	36		-	9	0.0		No							0		0	0	1	7	24	41	27			56,503	*
80		35	36		-	10	0.0		No							0		0	0	0	4	18	42	36			49,241	*
79		35	37		-	9	Out		No											0	2	13	39	46			42,082	*
78		34	37		-	10	Out		No											0	1	9	36	54			36,061	*
77		34	38		-	9	Out		No											0	0	5	31	63			30,235	*
76		33	38		-	10	Out		No												0	3	26	71			24,693	*
75		33	39		-	9	Out		No												0	2	21	77			20,291	*
74		32	39		-	10	Out		No												0	1	16	83			15,957	*
73		32	40		-	9	Out		No													1	12	88			12,732	*
72		31	40		-	10	Out		No												0	0	9	91			9,940	*
71		31	41		-	9	Out		No													0	6	94			7,574	*
70		30	41		-	10	Out		No													0	5	95			5,690	*
69		30	42		-	9	Out		No													0	3	97			4,205	*
68		29	42		-	10	Out		No													0	3	97			3,015	*
67		29	43		-	9	Out		No														1	99			2,274	*
66		28	43		-	10	Out		No														1	99			1,629	*
65		28	44		-	9	Out		No														1	99			1,123	*
64		27	44		-	10	Out		No														0	100			803	*
63		27	45		-	9	Out		No														0	100			519	*
0	-62						Out		No															100			1,199	*

Total:							46.7	%	1.8	%	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	8	9	9	10	10			2,100,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Arizona 2 Philadelphia 4	+1.2
Pittsburgh 2 Anaheim 3	+0.1
Columbus 4 San Jose 1	-0.1
Ottawa 5 Montreal 6 (ot)	*-0.1
Toronto 3 Boston 2	*+0.0
Vancouver 2 Calgary 1	*-0.0
Colorado 1 Dallas 2	*-0.0
St. Louis 3 NY Rangers 1	+0.0
Chicago 1 Nashville 0 (so)	*+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
NY Islanders vs Anaheim	-0.1*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Edmonton vs Buffalo	+0.0+0.1*+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Carolina	+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

122	-162						100
121		57	17		-	7	98				2
120		55	16		-	10	98	1	1
119		54	16		-	11	98	1	1
118		54	17		-	10	98	0	0		1
117		54	18		-	9	97	2	1
116		53	18		-	10	95	3	1		1
115		53	19		-	9	94	3	1		2
114		53	20		-	8	91	4	2		2
113		52	20		-	9	87	7	3		3
112		52	21		-	8	81	9	5		5				0
111		51	21		-	9	74	12	7	0	7				0
110		50	21		-	10	66	16	9	0	9		0		0
109		50	22		-	9	56	21	11	0	12	0	0		0
108		49	22		-	10	44	24	15	0	16	0	0		1
107		49	23		-	9	34	27	18	1	18	1	0		2
106		48	23		-	10	23	28	20	2	22	1	1		2				0
105		48	24		-	9	15	27	22	3	25	3	1	0	4	0			0
104		47	24		-	10	8	24	22	5	27	5	2	0	6	0	0		0		0
103		47	25		-	9	4	19	21	7	26	9	4	0	9	0	0		1		0
102		46	25		-	10	1	14	17	10	22	14	7	0	13	1	0		2		0
101		46	26		-	9	0	9	13	13	16	17	10	1	16	2	1		3	0	0		0
100		45	26		-	10	0	5	8	14	9	19	14	1	18	4	1	0	5	0	1		0
99		45	27		-	9	0	3	4	13	4	19	16	3	18	7	3	0	8	0	1	0	0
98		44	27		-	10		1	2	11	2	14	15	7	15	12	6	0	11	1	2	0	0	0
97		44	28		-	9	0	0	1	8	0	10	12	10	10	16	9	1	14	3	4	0	1	0
96		43	28		-	10		0	0	6	0	5	8	13	5	18	13	2	15	6	7	0	1	0	0
95		43	29		-	9		0	0	4	0	2	4	13	2	16	14	5	13	11	11	1	3	1	0	0
94		42	29		-	10		0	0	2		1	2	11	0	11	12	10	8	16	14	5	7	2	0	0	0
93		42	30		-	9		0	0	1		0	1	8	0	6	8	13	4	18	13	10	11	5	1	0	0	0
92		41	30		-	10				0		0	0	5	0	3	4	15	1	16	9	17	13	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
91		41	31		-	9				0		0	0	3		1	2	13	0	11	4	20	12	15	10	5	2	0	0	0
90		40	31		-	10				0		0	0	2		0	1	10	0	7	1	19	7	14	17	13	7	3	1	0	0
89		40	32		-	9				0			0	1		0	0	7	0	3	0	13	3	9	16	19	15	9	4	1	0	0	0	0
88		39	32		-	10				0				0		0	0	4		1	0	8	1	4	10	17	21	18	11	5	1	0	0	0
87		39	33		-	9				0		0		0		0	0	2		0	0	4	0	1	4	10	17	22	20	12	5	2	0	0	0	0
86		38	33		-	10								0			0	1		0	0	2	0	0	1	4	10	18	23	21	13	6	2	0	0	0
85		38	34		-	9								0			0	1		0		1	0	0	0	1	4	10	18	24	22	13	6	1	0	0
84		37	34		-	10								0				0		0		0		0	0	0	1	4	10	19	25	22	13	5	1	0
83		37	35		-	9								0				0		0		0			0	0	0	1	4	12	21	26	21	11	3	0
82		36	35		-	10								0				0				0				0	0	0	1	5	14	24	27	19	7	1
81		36	36		-	9												0				0					0	0	0	2	7	18	28	27	14	3
80		35	36		-	10												0				0						0	0	1	3	10	24	32	23	7
79		35	37		-	9																						0	0	0	1	5	17	31	32	13
78		34	37		-	10																							0	0	0	3	11	28	37	21
77		34	38		-	9																								0	0	1	6	22	40	31
76		33	38		-	10																								0	0	0	3	15	40	41
75		33	39		-	9																									0	0	2	10	36	52
74		32	39		-	10																										0	1	6	31	62
73		32	40		-	9																										0	0	3	26	71
72		31	40		-	10																											0	2	20	78
71		31	41		-	9																											0	1	15	84
70		30	41		-	10																											0	1	11	88
69		30	42		-	9																											0	0	8	92
68		29	42		-	10																												0	6	94
67		29	43		-	9																												0	4	96
66		28	43		-	10																													3	97
65		28	44		-	9																													2	98
64		27	44		-	10																													1	99
63		27	45		-	9																													1	99
62		26	45		-	10																														100
61		26	46		-	9																													0	100
0	-60																																			100

Total:							2	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	3	4	3	4	3	5	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5