How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance wins title
Drake 0 Studds 1 +0.2
Drake 0 Studds 1 +0.2
Drake 0 Studds 1 +0.2
Drake 0 Studds 1 +0.2
Aiser 1 Talin 0 -0.2
Aiser 1 Talin 0 -0.2
Aiser 1 Talin 0 -0.2
Aiser 1 Talin 0 -0.2
Aiser 1 Talin 0 -0.2
Aiser 0 Talin 1 +0.2
Aiser 1 Talin 0 -0.2
Aiser 0 Talin 1 +0.2
Aiser 0 Talin 1 +0.2
Aiser 0 Talin 1 +0.2
Aiser 0 Talin 1 +0.2
Aiser 0 Talin 1 +0.2
Drake 1 Studds 0 -0.1
Drake 1 Studds 0 -0.1
Drake 1 Studds 0 -0.1
Drake 1 Studds 0 -0.1
Drake 1 Studds 0 -0.1
Drake 1 Studds 0 -0.1
Drake 1 Studds 0 -0.1
Drake 1 Studds 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Monday100.0*Chance wins title
Studds vs Talin-0.1+0.1
Studds vs Talin-0.1+0.1
Studds vs Talin-0.1+0.1
Drake vs Aiser-0.1+0.1
Studds vs Talin-0.1+0.1
Studds vs Talin-0.1+0.1
Studds vs Talin-0.1+0.1
Studds vs Talin-0.1+0.1
Studds vs Talin-0.1+0.1
Studds vs Talin-0.1+0.1
Studds vs Talin-0.1+0.1
Drake vs Aiser-0.1+0.1
Drake vs Aiser-0.1+0.1
Studds vs Talin-0.1+0.1
Studds vs Talin-0.1+0.1
Drake vs Aiser-0.1+0.1
Studds vs Talin-0.1+0.1
Drake vs Aiser-0.1+0.1
Drake vs Aiser-0.1+0.1
Drake vs Aiser-0.1+0.1
Drake vs Aiser-0.1+0.1
Drake vs Aiser-0.1+0.1
Drake vs Aiser-0.1+0.1
Drake vs Aiser-0.1+0.1
Drake vs Aiser-0.1+0.1
Drake vs Aiser-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Talin finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTTwins title1234Count
417-509Yes1004,743*
41514847-0094.3%94635
41314748-00Yes10040
41114649-0096.496455
40914550-0088.9891181
40714451-0081.98218127
40514352-0082.28218152
40314253-0080.08020215
40114154-0078.77921282
39914055-0070.77129321
39713956-0066.76733429
39513857-0063.86436472
39313758-0057.85842521
39113659-0048.84951604
38913560-0045.34555645
38713461-0032.93367714
38513362-0025.52575804
38313263-0019.72080751
38113164-0013.61486841
37913065-007.78911855
37712966-008.99901856
37512867-008.89892818
37312768-0012.412844828
37112669-0018.518757855
36912570-0028.7296210881
36712471-0037.63851111,089
36512372-0043.24347101,305
36312273-0047.8484481,839
36112174-0044.9455052,630
35912075-0038.3385834,004
35711976-0031.3316725,985
35511877-0025.3257418,947
35311778-0020.32079112,993
35111679-0014.21486019,077
34911580-0010.41089026,822
34711481-007.1793037,242
34511382-004.6595051,206
34311283-003.0397068,260
34111184-001.8298088,991
33911085-001.21990113,563
33710986-000.61990142,132
33510887-000.301000174,432
33310788-000.201000209,245
33110689-000.10991247,648
32910590-000.00991285,377
32710491-000.00982321,335
32510392-000.00973353,920
32310293-000.00955383,469
32110194-000.00937407,113
31910095-00No9010423,212
3179996-00No8614429,411
3159897-00No8119428,402
3139798-00No7525418,004
3119699-00No6832399,295
30995100-00No6040374,713
30794101-00No5248344,043
30593102-00No4456309,046
30392103-00No36640272,032
30191104-00No29710234,908
29990105-00No22780198,213
29789106-00No16840164,190
29588107-00No12880132,674
29387108-00No8920105,369
29186109-00No594182,146
28985110-00No396162,709
28784111-00No296246,826
28583112-00No195433,963
28382113-00No193624,374
28181114-00No091916,825
27980115-00No1861311,516
27779116-00No181188,015
27578117-00No273245,313
27377118-00No566283,526
27176119-00No856362,362
26975120-00No1447391,574
26774121-00No2239391,178
26573122-00No323632898
26372123-00No374122852
26171124-00No394516760
25970125-00No385211778
25769126-00No29675824
25568127-00No27702767
25367128-00No19792815
25166129-00No14851859
24965130-00No9901824
24764131-00No3952823
24563132-00No2953796
24362133-00No1963763
24161134-00No2899653
23960135-00No08812595
23759136-00No8020503
23558137-00No7228442
23357138-00No6634343
23156139-00No4852305
22955140-00No3961223
22754141-00No3070181
22553142-00No2575128
22352143-00No198181
22151144-00No138776
21950145-00No69448
21749146-00No158527
21548147-00No79314
21347148-00No138715
119-211No1004,707*
Total:0.5%1712807,537,488

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship