"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
tot 99 dav 116 -1.8
-0.6
war 93.5 wel 84.5 +0.4
con 109 mcn 62 +0.3
she 90.5 pin 83.5 +0.3
-0.1
thi 115 sco 92.5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 11/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
pin vs tot-0.7+0.7
-0.4+0.5
mcn vs war-0.3+0.3
wel vs she-0.3+0.3
+0.1-0.1
arn vs thi-0.2+0.1
-0.1+0.1
dav vs tai-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1
sco vs con-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the tot finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
02-2Out0223581710,243,564
1-3Out035657,474,091
3-10.0%011033411416,240,052
0-4Out7932,049,161
4-012.8112313517401,429,596
Total:0.7%0124918353127,436,464
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs