The Tickle Monster Playoff Chances 2014 50/50Beat London 257.28-224.7, playoff odds up 10.7 to 47.9% 2-1-0 .667 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Tickle 257.28 London 224.7 | +11.8 | | +1.3 | | MACHO 265.73 Ginger Army 279.87 | +0.3 | | | | Pollos 266.45 Glaurung 205 | +0.3 | | | | Wacky 286.1 Thompsons 269.4 | -0.2 | | | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Badgers vs Tickle | -13.2*-3.3+13.2 | | -1.4*-0.3+1.4 | | Thompsons vs Rabbits | +0.3*-1.3-0.3 | | | | Dez vs MACHO | +0.3*+3.3-0.3 | | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | | Geese vs Spectral | +0.2*-0.7-0.2 | | | | Panuckers vs Gators | -0.2*+1.3+0.2 | | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Tickle finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,309 | | 10 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 24 | | 10 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 92 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 27,914 | | 9 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 81 | 19 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 177 | | 9 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 61 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 112,689 | | 8 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 37 | 49 | 12 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 611 | | 8 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 14 | 33 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 262,876 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 50 | | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | | 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.4 | | 2 | 15 | 33 | 31 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 1,240 | | 7 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 82.5 | | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 393,898 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | | | | 25 | 25 | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | | 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 47.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 29 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | | 1,592 | | 6 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 9.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 23 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 395,006 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | 20 | 60 | 20 | | | | | | | 5 | | 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | | | 1,217 | | 5 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 262,815 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | | | | 2 | | 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 33 | 17 | 3 | 656 | | 4 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 36 | 18 | 112,321 | | 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 41 | 39 | 201 | | 3 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 67 | 28,161 | | 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 12 | | 2 | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | 3,268 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 47.9 | % | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1,608,000 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Tickle 257.28 London 224.7 | -2.7 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Badgers vs Tickle | +2.7+0.6-2.7 | | Plax vs Pollos | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Dez vs MACHO | -0.0*-0.3+0.0 | | TDs vs Ra's al Ghul | +0.0*-0.5-0.0 | | Panuckers vs Gators | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Jadeveon vs MegaTrob | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 77 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 59 | 36 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 28 | 37 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 8 | 29 | 32 | 20 | 8 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 21 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | | | 50 | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | | | 1 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 28 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 25 | | 25 | | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 23 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | | | 40 | 40 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | 5 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | | 50 | | | | | | | | 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 25 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | 4 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 23 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 16 | 22 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 3 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 37 | 31 | 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | 25 | 50 | 2 | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 20 | 78 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
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