Staff-Infected Johnson Playoff Chances 2014 50/50
Beat Cheyenne 265.68-208.19, playoff odds up 9.6 to 45.6%
2-1-0 .667
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Staff 265.68 Cheyenne 208.19 | +11.4 | +1.3 | ||
| Professor 236 Jadeveon 301.43 | -0.3 | -0.0 | ||
| 12th Man 274.3 KC_Love 220.3 | -0.2 | |||
| Ra's al Ghul 232.45 End Stags 298 | -0.2 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Choke A Romo vs Staff | -13.0*+1.9+13.1 | -1.3*+0.4+1.3 | ||
| TDs vs Ra's al Ghul | -0.5*+0.4+0.5 | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Cheyenne vs End Stags | +0.4*+0.3-0.4 | |||
| Jadeveon vs MegaTrob | -0.2*-0.3+0.3 | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Tampa Terror vs Sanchize | +0.2*+1.7-0.2 | |||
| Cap Challenged vs Abby's | +0.2*-0.3-0.2 | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Staff finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 11 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 98 | 2 | 3,246 | |||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 84 | 16 | 31 | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 86 | 14 | 1 | 27,962 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 74 | 25 | 2 | 179 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 49 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 112,976 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 25 | 44 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 631 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.8 | % | 9 | 27 | 33 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 263,585 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 25 | 50 | 25 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 98.9 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 34 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1,221 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 75.5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 393,327 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 75.0 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 36.9 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 31 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1,562 | |||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 25 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 394,624 | |||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 33.3 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 29 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1,258 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 262,718 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 6 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 653 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 33 | 33 | 12 | 112,567 | |||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 5 | 15 | 50 | 29 | 186 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 56 | 28,005 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 20 | 80 | 20 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 11 | 89 | 3,236 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 45.6 | % | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1,608,000 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Staff 265.68 Cheyenne 208.19 | -2.7 | |
| Tickle 257.28 London 224.7 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Choke A Romo vs Staff | +2.7-0.8-2.7 | |
| Panuckers vs Gators | +0.0-0.5-0.0 | |
| Plax vs Pollos | -0.0+0.5+0.0 | |
| TDs vs Ra's al Ghul | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| Thompsons vs Rabbits | -0.0*-0.8+0.0 | |
| Cheyenne vs End Stags | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
| Jadeveon vs MegaTrob | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 11 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 96 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 81 | 19 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 75 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 60 | 33 | 7 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 26 | 36 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 7 | 23 | 33 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 23 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 25 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 33 | 33 | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 25 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 24 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 23 | 20 | 10 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 27 | 10 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 35 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 35 | 65 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 80 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:22 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
