Glaurung the Golden Playoff Chances 2014 50/50Lost to Pollos 205-266.45, playoff odds down 11 to 48% 2-1-0 .667 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Pollos 266.45 Glaurung 205 | -11.9 | | -1.2 | | Wacky 286.1 Thompsons 269.4 | -0.3 | | -0.0 | | MACHO 265.73 Ginger Army 279.87 | +0.3 | | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Glaurung vs Wacky | +13.1*+3.2-13.1 | | +1.4+0.3-1.4 | | Thompsons vs Rabbits | +0.3*-2.5-0.3 | | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Geese vs Spectral | +0.2*+3.4-0.2 | | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | Dez vs MACHO | +0.2*+1.5-0.2 | | +0.0*+0.3-0.0 | | Panuckers vs Gators | -0.2*-1.4+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Glaurung finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,271 | | 10 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 10 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 28,383 | | 9 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 91 | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 183 | | 9 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 64 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 112,213 | | 8 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 41 | 44 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 654 | | 8 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 15 | 34 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 262,671 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.6 | | 3 | 16 | 33 | 31 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 1,303 | | 7 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 82.8 | | 0 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 394,661 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | | | | 50 | | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | | 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 46.1 | | | | 0 | 3 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 1,557 | | 6 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 9.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 24 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 393,882 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | 1 | | 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 0 | | | 1,279 | | 5 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 263,106 | | 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 611 | | 4 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 35 | 17 | 112,076 | | 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 13 | 51 | 34 | 193 | | 3 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 63 | 28,562 | | 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 10 | 86 | 21 | | 2 | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 93 | 3,354 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 48.0 | % | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1,608,000 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Pollos 266.45 Glaurung 205 | +2.5 | | MACHO 265.73 Ginger Army 279.87 | -0.0 | | Ra's al Ghul 232.45 End Stags 298 | +0.0 | | 12th Man 274.3 KC_Love 220.3 | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Glaurung vs Wacky | -2.7-0.4+2.7 | | Cheyenne vs End Stags | -0.0+0.2+0.0 | | Cap Challenged vs Abby's | -0.0*+0.6+0.0 | | Thompsons vs Rabbits | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Jadeveon vs MegaTrob | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | | TDs vs Ra's al Ghul | +0.0*+0.6-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 80 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 64 | 28 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 31 | 37 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 7 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 24 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 25 | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 5 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 29 | 21 | 13 | 5 | 1 | | | 4 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 23 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 33 | 26 | 5 | 3 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 28 | 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 10 | 43 | 43 | 2 | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 75 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
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