Golden Geese of Chicago Playoff Chances 2014 50/50
Lost to Plax 237-274.68, playoff odds down 10.5 to 26.4%
1-2-0 .333
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Plax 274.68 Geese 237 | -11.8 | -1.3 | ||
| Pollos 266.45 Glaurung 205 | +0.3 | |||
| Wacky 286.1 Thompsons 269.4 | -0.2 | |||
| MACHO 265.73 Ginger Army 279.87 | +0.2 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Geese vs Spectral | +10.8*-1.5-10.8 | +1.4-0.2-1.4 | ||
| Thompsons vs Rabbits | +0.3*-1.0-0.3 | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | ||
| Dez vs MACHO | +0.2*-0.8-0.2 | |||
| Plax vs Pollos | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |||
| Panuckers vs Gators | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Geese finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 10 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 95 | 5 | 0 | 3,244 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 89 | 11 | 28 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 67 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 28,190 | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 36 | 48 | 13 | 3 | 187 | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 19 | 36 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 112,596 | ||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.8 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 32 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 623 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 87.1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 24 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 261,955 | ||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 44.2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 26 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1,258 | |||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 24 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 394,160 | |||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 5 | 16 | 32 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1,585 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 393,892 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 33 | 15 | 2 | 1,181 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 33 | 14 | 263,690 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 41 | 623 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 62 | 112,847 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 14 | 86 | 180 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 7 | 93 | 28,473 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 100 | 24 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 1 | 99 | 3,261 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 26.4 | % | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 1,608,000 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Plax 274.68 Geese 237 | +2.7 | |
| Gators 217.74 Badgers 221.65 | *+0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Geese vs Spectral | -2.7+0.5+2.7 | |
| Cheyenne vs End Stags | +0.0-0.5-0.0 | |
| Panuckers vs Gators | -0.0-0.4+0.0 | |
| Plax vs Pollos | -0.0*+0.4+0.0 | |
| Thompsons vs Rabbits | -0.0*+0.3+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 10 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 61 | 21 | 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 35 | 37 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 6 | 25 | 31 | 28 | 8 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 10 | 19 | 23 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 26 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 23 | 23 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 22 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 33 | 26 | 5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 36 | 25 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 74 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 4 | 96 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 96 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:22 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
