Cap Challenged Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Beat Tampa Terror 232.25-183, playoff odds up 9.7 to 68.5%

3-0-0 1.000

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Cap Challenged finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

11.5	-12						In		100																3,298	*
11		8	-	1	-	0	In		99	1	0														28,096
10	.5	7	-	1	-	1	In		98	2															210
10		7	-	2	-	0	In		89	10	0	0													112,612
		6	-	1	-	2	In		100																1
9	.5	6	-	2	-	1	In		81	18	1														588
9		6	-	3	-	0	In		52	37	10	1	0	0											263,436
		5	-	2	-	2	In			100															1
8	.5	5	-	3	-	1	In		33	45	18	3	0												1,285
8		5	-	4	-	0	99.8	%	9	26	33	22	8	2	0	0									393,678
		4	-	3	-	2	In					100													1
7	.5	4	-	4	-	1	99.3		2	11	28	33	18	7	1	0									1,504
7		4	-	5	-	0	72.1		0	1	6	15	24	26	18	8	2	0	0						394,150
		3	-	4	-	2	In			50		50													2
6	.5	3	-	5	-	1	38.8				0	2	10	26	30	23	8	1	0						1,259
6		3	-	6	-	0	5.1			0	0	0	1	4	11	20	26	22	12	4	1	0	0		263,070
		2	-	5	-	2	Out										100								1
5	.5	2	-	6	-	1	Out								1	5	20	31	28	13	2				588
5		2	-	7	-	0	0.0							0	0	0	2	8	19	28	26	13	3	0	112,362
4	.5	1	-	7	-	1	Out												8	20	33	28	10	2	159
4		1	-	8	-	0	Out										0	0	1	4	15	33	34	13	28,401
3	.5	0	-	8	-	1	Out														6	24	45	24	33
3		0	-	9	-	0	Out														0	7	35	58	3,265

Total:							68.5	%	19	14	11	9	8	7	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	0	1,608,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

12		9	-	0	-	0	100	0
11	.5	8	-	0	-	1	100
11		8	-	1	-	0	97	3	0	0
10	.5	7	-	1	-	1	93	7
10		7	-	2	-	0	77	20	2	0	0
		6	-	1	-	2	100
9	.5	6	-	2	-	1	65	28	6	1
9		6	-	3	-	0	25	36	25	10	3	0	0	0	0
		5	-	2	-	2		100
8	.5	5	-	3	-	1	10	27	31	21	9	1	0
8		5	-	4	-	0	1	5	12	18	21	19	13	7	3	1	0	0	0
		4	-	3	-	2									100
7	.5	4	-	4	-	1			1	6	16	22	22	19	9	4	1
7		4	-	5	-	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	6	9	12	15	16	15	11	7	3	1	0	0	0	0
		3	-	4	-	2				50					50
6	.5	3	-	5	-	1								0	1	5	12	19	23	20	11	5	2	0	0
6		3	-	6	-	0							0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	8	11	14	16	15	12	7	3	1	0	0	0
		2	-	5	-	2																				100
5	.5	2	-	6	-	1															0	1	3	9	18	28	20	11	8	1	0
5		2	-	7	-	0															0	0	0	1	2	3	6	10	13	17	18	15	10	4	1	0	0	0
4	.5	1	-	7	-	1																						1	1	9	18	25	25	16	4	3
4		1	-	8	-	0																					0	0	0	1	2	6	12	19	24	21	11	3
3	.5	0	-	8	-	1																											3	9	21	39	18	9
3		0	-	9	-	0																										0	0	1	5	18	39	38

Total:							12	9	7	6	6	6	5	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0