The Bearphins Playoff Chances 2014 50/50
Beat Sanchize 269.52-215, playoff odds up 9.6 to 46.2%
2-1-0 .667
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Sanchize 215 Bearphins 269.52 | +11.7 | +1.3 | ||
| Ra's al Ghul 232.45 End Stags 298 | -0.3 | |||
| Professor 236 Jadeveon 301.43 | -0.3 | |||
| 12th Man 274.3 KC_Love 220.3 | -0.2 | |||
| Staff 265.68 Cheyenne 208.19 | -0.2 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bearphins vs 12th Man | +13.2*+0.6-13.2 | +1.3+0.2-1.3 | ||
| TDs vs Ra's al Ghul | -0.6*-0.1+0.6 | |||
| Cheyenne vs End Stags | +0.5*-0.4-0.5 | |||
| Jadeveon vs MegaTrob | -0.2*+1.2+0.2 | |||
| Tampa Terror vs Sanchize | +0.2*-1.2-0.2 | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | ||
| Cap Challenged vs Abby's | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Bearphins finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 11 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | 3,227 | |||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 100 | 21 | |||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 88 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 28,258 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 77 | 22 | 2 | 181 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 52 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 112,123 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 31 | 44 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 630 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.8 | % | 10 | 28 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 262,370 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.0 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 33 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1,268 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 77.3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 394,875 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 40.2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1,558 | |||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 25 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 393,702 | |||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 25 | 25 | 50 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1,298 | |||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 262,835 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 67 | 33 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 7 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 636 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 31 | 11 | 113,168 | |||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 8 | 25 | 44 | 22 | 162 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 54 | 28,363 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 5 | 25 | 70 | 20 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 11 | 89 | 3,296 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 46.2 | % | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1,608,000 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Sanchize 215 Bearphins 269.52 | -2.7 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Bearphins vs 12th Man | -2.7-0.5+2.7 | |
| Dez vs MACHO | -0.0-0.4+0.0 | |
| TDs vs Ra's al Ghul | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| Cap Challenged vs Abby's | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | |
| Cheyenne vs End Stags | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
| Panuckers vs Gators | +0.0*-0.3-0.0 | |
| Thompsons vs Rabbits | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 11 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 97 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 90 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 77 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 59 | 36 | 4 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 28 | 37 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 8 | 30 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 21 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 25 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 25 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 33 | 67 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 22 | 26 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 23 | 19 | 9 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 36 | 16 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 38 | 34 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 5 | 20 | 25 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 82 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:22 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
