FC Terrain Title Chances Fall2010-11

Lost to STOMP 3-10, title odds down 0.5 to 0.05%

0 points 0-0-2

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
Dayton FC 5 FC Terrain 1	-4.3		-4.0		-1.0
Rogues 0 Gunners FC 4	-0.2		-0.2
Team Dayton 7 STOMP 2	-0.1		-0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/19	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Average seed
STOMP vs Rogues					+0.0+0.0-0.1
Dayton Dynasty vs Team Dayton					+0.0+0.0-0.1

Chances based on how well the FC Terrain finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	wins title		Promoted		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

19	6	-	1	-	0	60.9	%	60.9	%	61	37	2								2,132
16	5	-	1	-	1	1.6		1.6		2	47	41	10	1						12,204
	5	-	1	-	0	11.0		11.0		11	70	18	1							6,282
15	4	-	3	-	0	0.2		0.2		0	26	45	24	4	0					16,834
14	4	-	2	-	1	No		No			5	28	42	21	3	0	0			66,096
13	4	-	1	-	2	No		No			0	6	28	43	20	3	0			64,424
12	3	-	3	-	0	No		No			1	10	36	39	14	1	0			24,122
11	3	-	2	-	1	No		No			0	1	10	35	40	14	1	0		142,513
	2	-	5	-	0	No		No				0	1	15	41	34	8	0		19,599
10	3	-	1	-	2	No		No				0	1	10	36	39	13	1	0	276,514
	2	-	4	-	1	No		No					0	2	16	42	33	7	0	151,227
9	3	-	0	-	3	No		No				0	0	1	13	40	37	9	0	178,614
8	2	-	2	-	3	No		No							0	2	21	52	25	566,392
	2	-	2	-	2	No		No					0	0	2	16	43	34	6	439,431
	1	-	5	-	0	No		No						0	2	17	45	32	4	8,161
7	2	-	1	-	4	No		No								0	7	45	48	273,646
	1	-	4	-	1	No		No							0	2	23	51	23	79,968
6	1	-	3	-	2	No		No							0	0	8	46	46	306,530
	0	-	6	-	1	No		No								0	2	33	64	16,729
	0	-	6	-	0	No		No								0	10	47	43	1,446
5	1	-	2	-	3	No		No								0	2	31	66	592,404
4	1	-	1	-	4	No		No									0	17	83	567,890
	0	-	4	-	2	No		No									0	17	83	79,765
3	1	-	0	-	5	No		No									0	7	92	217,220
	0	-	3	-	3	No		No									0	8	92	203,325
2	0	-	2	-	4	No		No									0	3	97	291,904
1	0	-	1	-	5	No		No										1	99	222,298
0	0	-	0	-	6	No		No										0	100	71,565

Total:						0.0	%	0.0	%	0	0	1	2	3	5	7	11	23	48	4,899,235

Points

Chance Will Win Championship

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Dayton FC 5 FC Terrain 1	+1.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/19	100.0*	Lottery seed
STOMP vs Rogues	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Dayton Dynasty vs Team Dayton	-0.0-0.0+0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10

19	6	-	1	-	0	61	37	2
16	5	-	1	-	1	2	47	41	10	1
	5	-	1	-	0	11	70	18	1
15	4	-	3	-	0	0	26	45	24	4	0
14	4	-	2	-	1		5	28	42	21	3	0	0
13	4	-	1	-	2		0	6	28	43	20	3	0
12	3	-	3	-	0		1	10	36	39	14	1	0
11	3	-	2	-	1		0	1	10	35	40	14	1	0
	2	-	5	-	0			0	2	15	41	34	8	0
10	3	-	1	-	2			0	1	10	36	39	13	1	0
	2	-	4	-	1				0	2	16	42	33	7	0
9	3	-	0	-	3			0	0	1	13	40	37	9	0
8	2	-	2	-	3						0	2	21	52	25
	2	-	2	-	2				0	0	2	16	43	34	6
	1	-	5	-	0					0	2	17	45	32	4
7	2	-	1	-	4							0	7	45	48
	1	-	4	-	1						0	2	23	51	23
6	1	-	3	-	2						0	0	8	46	46
	0	-	6	-	1							0	2	33	64
	0	-	6	-	0							0	10	47	43
5	1	-	2	-	3							0	2	31	66
4	1	-	1	-	4								0	17	83
	0	-	4	-	2								0	17	83
3	1	-	0	-	5								0	7	92
	0	-	3	-	3								0	8	92
2	0	-	2	-	4								0	3	97
1	0	-	1	-	5									1	99
0	0	-	0	-	6									0	100

Total:						0	0	1	2	3	5	7	11	23	48