WPAFB Playoff Chances 2010-11
Tied YS Int. 2-2, playoff odds down 16.7 to 22.9%
4 points 1-1-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| YS Int. 2 WPAFB 2 | -4.7 | -4.7 | +0.2 | -0.2 | ||||
| Ozweego 0 Chromparts 2 | -1.8 | -1.8 | -0.3 | -0.0 | ||||
| FC Tipp 2 Metro FC 2 | +1.4 | +1.4 | +0.1 | |||||
| RoguesII 0 Al-akhir 7 | -1.1 | -1.1 | -0.2 | |||||
| Thunder 3 Celtics 1 | +0.6 | +0.6 | +0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 9/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| WPAFB vs FC Tipp | +14.9-3.0-12.0 | +14.9-3.0-12.0 | -3.3-0.1+3.2 | +1.0-0.1-0.9 | ||||
| Al-akhir vs Metro FC | -1.5+1.3+1.0 | -1.5+1.3+1.0 | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | |||||
| Chromparts vs YS Int. | -1.1+1.2+1.0 | -1.1+1.2+1.0 | -0.3*+0.0+0.5 | |||||
| Ozweego vs Thunder | +1.0+0.7-0.9 | +1.0+0.7-0.9 | +0.8-0.1-0.4 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||||
| Celtics vs RoguesII | -0.4+0.3+0.3 | -0.4+0.3+0.3 | -0.2-0.2+0.4 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the WPAFB finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 25 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 12,669 | |||||||||||||
| 23 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 98 | 2 | 0 | No | 49,601 | ||||||||||
| 22 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 99.9 | 99.9 | 87 | 13 | 0 | No | 69,156 | ||||||||||||
| 21 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.8 | 99.8 | 85 | 15 | 0 | No | 100,082 | ||||||||||||
| 20 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 97.8 | 97.8 | 64 | 34 | 2 | 0 | No | 278,430 | |||||||||||
| 19 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 88.1 | 88.1 | 38 | 50 | 12 | 0 | 0 | No | 192,519 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 95.3 | 95.3 | 55 | 40 | 5 | 0 | No | 111,763 | ||||||||||||
| 18 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 80.9 | 80.9 | 28 | 53 | 18 | 1 | 0 | No | 463,349 | ||||||||||
| 17 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 51.8 | 51.8 | 9 | 43 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 635,847 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 68.4 | 68.4 | 17 | 51 | 29 | 3 | 0 | No | 74,444 | |||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 34.8 | 34.8 | 4 | 31 | 48 | 16 | 1 | 0 | No | 408,593 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 20.7 | 20.7 | 1 | 19 | 49 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 289,810 | |||||||||
| 15 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 9.6 | 9.6 | 0 | 9 | 40 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 838,816 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 19.3 | 19.3 | 1 | 18 | 47 | 29 | 5 | 0 | No | 29,529 | ||||||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 757,952 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 44 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 202,037 | ||||||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 42 | 21 | 3 | 0 | No | 547,879 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 42 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 256,506 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 38 | 12 | 1 | No | 6,509 | ||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 42 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 741,572 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 53,082 | ||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 40 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | 498,747 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 15 | 41 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 178,436 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | No | 4 | 22 | 44 | 26 | 3 | No | 618 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 20 | 45 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 4.5 | 320,377 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 14 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 7.0 | 132,796 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 26 | 47 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 2.3 | 5,880 | |||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 47 | 19 | 1 | 20.3 | 321,285 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 7 | 35 | 44 | 14 | 1 | 14.4 | 23,137 | ||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 39 | 7 | 46.5 | 170,041 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 35 | 5 | 39.9 | 51,585 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 28 | 52 | 18 | 69.7 | 68,709 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 24 | 53 | 21 | 74.0 | 36,977 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 11 | 50 | 38 | 88.6 | 54,280 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 39 | 59 | 97.2 | 23,648 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 20 | 79 | 99.7 | 6,422 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 22.9 | % | 22.9 | % | 9 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4.4 | % | 8,013,083 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| YS Int. 2 WPAFB 2 | +0.2 | |
| FC Tipp 2 Metro FC 2 | -0.1 | |
| Ozweego 0 Chromparts 2 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 9/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| WPAFB vs FC Tipp | -1.0+0.1+0.9 | |
| Ozweego vs Thunder | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| 25 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100 | 0 | |||||||||
| 23 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 98 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||
| 22 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 87 | 13 | 0 | ||||||||
| 21 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 85 | 15 | 0 | ||||||||
| 20 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 64 | 34 | 2 | 0 | |||||||
| 19 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 38 | 50 | 12 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 55 | 40 | 5 | 0 | ||||||||
| 18 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 28 | 53 | 18 | 1 | 0 | ||||||
| 17 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 9 | 43 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 17 | 51 | 29 | 3 | 0 | |||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 4 | 31 | 48 | 16 | 1 | 0 | |||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | 19 | 49 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| 15 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 9 | 40 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | 18 | 47 | 29 | 5 | 0 | ||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 41 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 0 | |||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 44 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 42 | 21 | 3 | 0 | |||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 42 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 38 | 12 | 1 | ||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 42 | 18 | 2 | 0 | |||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 40 | 13 | 1 | 0 | |||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 41 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 4 | 23 | 45 | 26 | 3 | |||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 45 | 29 | 4 | 0 | ||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 0 | |||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 47 | 21 | 2 | 0 | |||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 47 | 19 | 1 | ||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 44 | 14 | 1 | ||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 39 | 7 | |||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 35 | 5 | ||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 52 | 18 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 53 | 21 | |||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0 | 11 | 50 | 38 | |||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 59 | |||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 0 | 20 | 79 | ||||||||
| Total: | 9 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:35 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
