RoguesII Playoff Chances 2010-11

Lost to Al-akhir 0-7, playoff odds down 3.3 to 0.5%

0 points 0-0-2

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the RoguesII finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in				Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Promoted		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Relegated		Count

21	7	-	0	-	0	99.1	%	99.1	%	77	22	1								No		2,677
19	6	-	1	-	0	88.9		88.9		38	51	11	0							No		4,990
18	6	-	0	-	1	72.0		72.0		20	52	26	2	0						No		9,352
17	5	-	2	-	0	54.7		54.7		10	45	41	5	0						No		14,853
16	5	-	1	-	1	23.4		23.4		2	22	53	21	3	0	0				No		55,174
15	5	-	0	-	2	5.2		5.2		0	5	38	40	15	1	0				No		51,277
	4	-	3	-	0	9.9		9.9		0	10	47	35	8	1	0				No		24,090
14	4	-	2	-	1	1.0		1.0		0	1	21	42	29	6	0	0			No		135,669
13	4	-	1	-	2	0.0		0.0			0	3	22	42	27	6	0	0		0.0	%	250,852
	3	-	4	-	0	0.1		0.1			0	7	30	41	18	2	0			No		23,634
12	3	-	3	-	1	0.0		0.0			0	1	8	31	41	17	2	0		0.0		174,901
	4	-	0	-	3	0.0		0.0			0	0	4	24	43	24	4	0		0.2		155,397
11	3	-	2	-	2	Out		No				0	1	9	33	40	15	1	0	1.3		485,215
	2	-	5	-	0	Out		No				0	2	14	38	36	9	1		0.6		13,726
10	3	-	1	-	3	Out		No					0	1	11	38	38	10	0	10.9		597,741
	2	-	4	-	1	Out		No					0	2	16	41	34	7	0	7.3		126,431
9	2	-	3	-	2	Out		No					0	0	3	21	47	27	3	29.4		468,042
	3	-	0	-	4	Out		No						0	2	18	46	30	4	33.9		275,697
	1	-	6	-	0	Out		No						0	4	24	48	22	2	24.1		4,523
8	2	-	2	-	3	Out		No						0	0	6	34	48	12	59.9		862,113
	1	-	5	-	1	Out		No						0	0	7	36	47	10	57.0		49,113
7	2	-	1	-	4	Out		No							0	1	16	53	30	83.5		793,467
	1	-	4	-	2	Out		No							0	1	16	54	29	82.6		225,151
	0	-	7	-	0	Out		No								1	18	56	25	81.0		609
6	1	-	3	-	3	Out		No								0	5	43	52	95.0		549,033
	2	-	0	-	5	Out		No								0	5	44	51	94.9		291,603
	0	-	6	-	1	Out		No								0	4	44	52	95.8		7,770
5	1	-	2	-	4	Out		No								0	1	27	72	98.9		757,995
	0	-	5	-	2	Out		No									1	24	75	99.4		42,964
4	1	-	1	-	5	Out		No									0	15	85	99.9		555,188
	0	-	4	-	3	Out		No									0	11	89	99.9		131,467
3	0	-	3	-	4	Out		No									0	4	96	100.0		239,308
	1	-	0	-	6	Out		No										7	93	Yes		169,593
2	0	-	2	-	5	Out		No										1	99	Yes		261,663
1	0	-	1	-	6	Out		No										0	100	Yes		158,855
0	0	-	0	-	7	Out		No											100	Yes		42,950

Total:						0.5	%	0.5	%	0	0	1	2	4	6	10	15	25	36	60.7	%	8,013,083

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10

21	7	-	0	-	0	77	22	1
19	6	-	1	-	0	38	51	11	0
18	6	-	0	-	1	20	52	26	2	0
17	5	-	2	-	0	10	45	41	5	0
16	5	-	1	-	1	2	22	53	21	3	0	0
15	5	-	0	-	2	0	5	38	40	15	1	0
	4	-	3	-	0	0	10	47	35	8	1	0
14	4	-	2	-	1	0	1	21	42	29	6	0	0
13	4	-	1	-	2		0	3	22	42	27	6	0	0
	3	-	4	-	0		0	7	30	41	18	2	0
12	3	-	3	-	1		0	1	8	31	41	17	2	0
	4	-	0	-	3		0	0	4	24	43	24	4	0
11	3	-	2	-	2			0	1	9	33	40	15	1	0
	2	-	5	-	0			0	2	14	38	36	9	1
10	3	-	1	-	3				0	1	11	38	38	10	0
	2	-	4	-	1				0	2	16	41	34	7	0
9	2	-	3	-	2				0	0	3	21	47	27	3
	3	-	0	-	4					0	2	18	46	30	4
	1	-	6	-	0					0	4	24	48	22	2
8	2	-	2	-	3					0	0	6	34	48	12
	1	-	5	-	1					0	0	7	36	47	10
7	2	-	1	-	4						0	1	16	53	30
	1	-	4	-	2						0	1	16	54	29
	0	-	7	-	0							1	18	56	25
6	1	-	3	-	3							0	5	43	52
	2	-	0	-	5							0	5	44	51
	0	-	6	-	1							0	4	44	52
5	1	-	2	-	4							0	1	27	72
	0	-	5	-	2								1	24	75
4	1	-	1	-	5								0	15	85
	0	-	4	-	3								0	11	89
3	0	-	3	-	4								0	4	96
	1	-	0	-	6									7	93
2	0	-	2	-	5									1	99
1	0	-	1	-	6									0	100
0	0	-	0	-	7										100

Total:						0	0	1	2	4	6	10	15	25	36