Ozweego Playoff Chances 2010-11

Lost to Chromparts 0-2, playoff odds down 3.9 to 0.6%

0 points 0-0-2

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Ozweego finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in				Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Promoted		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Relegated		Count

21	7	-	0	-	0	99.7	%	99.7	%	82	18	0								No		2,679
19	6	-	1	-	0	92.5		92.5		45	48	7	0							No		4,579
18	6	-	0	-	1	78.2		78.2		24	54	20	2	0						No		8,868
17	5	-	2	-	0	64.7		64.7		14	51	30	5	0						No		13,831
16	5	-	1	-	1	32.0		32.0		3	29	45	20	2	0					No		52,585
15	5	-	0	-	2	8.7		8.7		0	8	35	41	14	1	0				No		48,985
	4	-	3	-	0	17.9		17.9		1	17	43	32	7	0					No		23,033
14	4	-	2	-	1	2.7		2.7		0	3	21	42	28	6	0	0			No		130,165
13	4	-	1	-	2	0.1		0.1			0	4	23	42	26	5	0	0		0.0	%	242,134
	3	-	4	-	0	0.6		0.6			1	9	34	39	15	2	0			No		22,923
12	3	-	3	-	1	0.0		0.0			0	1	10	34	39	15	2	0		0.0		170,044
	4	-	0	-	3	0.0		0.0			0	0	4	24	43	24	4	0		0.1		150,521
11	3	-	2	-	2	Out		No				0	1	10	35	39	13	1	0	1.1		475,353
	2	-	5	-	0	Out		No				0	2	18	42	30	7	0	0	0.3		13,540
10	3	-	1	-	3	Out		No					0	1	12	39	37	9	0	9.8		588,614
	2	-	4	-	1	Out		No				0	0	3	20	43	29	5	0	5.4		124,732
9	2	-	3	-	2	Out		No					0	0	4	25	46	23	2	25.0		465,899
	3	-	0	-	4	Out		No					0	0	2	18	47	30	3	33.2		273,231
	1	-	6	-	0	Out		No						0	7	33	45	15	1	15.3		4,398
8	2	-	2	-	3	Out		No						0	0	7	37	46	10	56.0		860,823
	1	-	5	-	1	Out		No						0	1	11	42	40	6	46.7		48,365
7	2	-	1	-	4	Out		No							0	1	17	54	28	82.0		796,758
	1	-	4	-	2	Out		No							0	2	22	54	23	76.6		224,415
	0	-	7	-	0	Out		No								2	29	54	15	69.0		600
6	1	-	3	-	3	Out		No								0	7	47	45	92.7		554,313
	2	-	0	-	5	Out		No								0	5	44	51	94.9		294,559
	0	-	6	-	1	Out		No								0	10	53	37	89.8		7,791
5	1	-	2	-	4	Out		No								0	2	32	67	98.5		768,398
	0	-	5	-	2	Out		No								0	2	36	62	98.1		43,787
4	1	-	1	-	5	Out		No									0	16	84	99.8		566,438
	0	-	4	-	3	Out		No									0	17	82	99.8		133,496
3	0	-	3	-	4	Out		No									0	7	93	100.0		245,400
	1	-	0	-	6	Out		No									0	7	93	100.0		172,800
2	0	-	2	-	5	Out		No									0	2	98	100.0		270,184
1	0	-	1	-	6	Out		No										0	100	Yes		163,873
0	0	-	0	-	7	Out		No											100	Yes		44,969

Total:						0.6	%	0.6	%	0	1	1	2	4	6	10	16	25	35	59.9	%	8,013,083

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10

21	7	-	0	-	0	82	18	0
19	6	-	1	-	0	45	48	7	0
18	6	-	0	-	1	24	54	20	2	0
17	5	-	2	-	0	14	51	30	5	0
16	5	-	1	-	1	3	29	45	20	2	0
15	5	-	0	-	2	0	8	35	40	14	1	0
	4	-	3	-	0	1	17	43	32	7	0
14	4	-	2	-	1	0	3	21	42	28	6	0	0
13	4	-	1	-	2		0	4	23	42	26	5	0	0
	3	-	4	-	0		1	9	34	39	16	2	0
12	3	-	3	-	1		0	1	10	34	39	15	2	0
	4	-	0	-	3		0	0	4	24	43	24	4	0
11	3	-	2	-	2			0	1	10	35	39	13	1	0
	2	-	5	-	0			0	2	18	42	30	7	0	0
10	3	-	1	-	3				0	1	12	39	37	9	0
	2	-	4	-	1			0	0	3	20	43	29	5	0
9	2	-	3	-	2				0	0	4	25	46	23	2
	3	-	0	-	4				0	0	2	18	47	30	3
	1	-	6	-	0					0	7	33	45	15	1
8	2	-	2	-	3					0	0	7	37	46	10
	1	-	5	-	1					0	1	11	42	40	6
7	2	-	1	-	4						0	1	17	54	28
	1	-	4	-	2						0	2	22	54	23
	0	-	7	-	0							2	29	54	15
6	1	-	3	-	3							0	7	47	45
	2	-	0	-	5							0	5	44	51
	0	-	6	-	1							0	10	53	37
5	1	-	2	-	4							0	2	32	67
	0	-	5	-	2							0	2	36	62
4	1	-	1	-	5								0	16	84
	0	-	4	-	3								0	17	82
3	0	-	3	-	4								0	7	93
	1	-	0	-	6								0	7	93
2	0	-	2	-	5								0	2	98
1	0	-	1	-	6									0	100
0	0	-	0	-	7										100

Total:						0	1	1	2	4	6	10	16	25	35