"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
FC Tipp Playoff Chances 2010-11
Tied Metro FC 2-2, playoff odds down 6.8 to 28.8%
4 points 1-1-0
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| FC Tipp 2 Metro FC 2 | -4.0 | -4.0 | +0.1 | -0.2 | ||||
| Ozweego 0 Chromparts 2 | -1.8 | -1.8 | -0.3 | -0.0 | ||||
| YS Int. 2 WPAFB 2 | +1.3 | +1.3 | +0.1 | |||||
| RoguesII 0 Al-akhir 7 | -1.0 | -1.0 | -0.2 | |||||
| Thunder 3 Celtics 1 | +0.5 | +0.5 | +0.5 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 9/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| WPAFB vs FC Tipp | -14.1-3.7+15.8 | -14.1-3.7+15.8 | +2.9*-0.0-2.7 | -0.9-0.1+0.9 | ||||
| Al-akhir vs Metro FC | -1.7+1.5+1.0 | -1.7+1.5+1.0 | -0.2*-0.0+0.3 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||||
| Chromparts vs YS Int. | -1.4+1.3+1.3 | -1.4+1.3+1.3 | -0.2+0.0+0.3 | |||||
| Ozweego vs Thunder | +1.4+0.9-1.2 | +1.4+0.9-1.2 | +0.4-0.1-0.1 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||||
| Celtics vs RoguesII | -0.4+0.3+0.4 | -0.4+0.3+0.4 | -0.1-0.2+0.3 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the FC Tipp finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 25 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 18,649 | |||||||||||||
| 23 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 97 | 3 | No | 74,579 | |||||||||||||
| 22 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 99.9 | % | 99.9 | % | 87 | 13 | 0 | No | 97,289 | ||||||||||
| 21 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.8 | 99.8 | 85 | 15 | 0 | No | 141,512 | ||||||||||||
| 20 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 97.9 | 97.9 | 64 | 34 | 2 | 0 | No | 364,575 | |||||||||||
| 19 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 88.7 | 88.7 | 38 | 50 | 11 | 0 | 0 | No | 232,017 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 95.4 | 95.4 | 55 | 40 | 5 | 0 | No | 147,832 | ||||||||||||
| 18 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 81.6 | 81.6 | 29 | 53 | 17 | 1 | 0 | No | 564,429 | ||||||||||
| 17 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 53.9 | 53.9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 716,119 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 70.2 | 70.2 | 19 | 51 | 27 | 3 | 0 | No | 91,467 | |||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 36.8 | 36.8 | 4 | 32 | 47 | 15 | 1 | 0 | No | 464,894 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 22.9 | 22.9 | 2 | 21 | 49 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 300,767 | |||||||||
| 15 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 11.1 | 11.1 | 0 | 11 | 42 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 877,543 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 21.4 | 21.4 | 1 | 20 | 48 | 27 | 4 | 0 | No | 33,922 | ||||||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 42 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 728,737 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 44 | 21 | 3 | 0 | No | 213,307 | |||||||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 41 | 19 | 3 | 0 | No | 534,891 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 42 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 223,930 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 37 | 10 | 1 | No | 6,822 | ||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 658,765 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 52,405 | ||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 39 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 402,911 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 160,941 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 23 | 46 | 24 | 2 | No | 626 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 20 | 43 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 5.3 | 264,710 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 36 | 9 | 0 | 9.1 | 97,331 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 28 | 45 | 20 | 2 | 2.3 | 5,351 | ||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 46 | 22 | 2 | 24.3 | 241,469 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 7 | 34 | 44 | 15 | 1 | 15.8 | 19,486 | ||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 45 | 11 | 56.5 | 115,175 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 39 | 7 | 46.7 | 39,293 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 20 | 52 | 27 | 78.5 | 47,382 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 6 | Out | No | 1 | 14 | 52 | 34 | 85.4 | 22,644 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 41 | 53 | 94.8 | 33,851 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 21 | 79 | 99.5 | 13,304 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 7 | Out | No | 4 | 96 | Yes | 4,158 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 28.8 | % | 28.8 | % | 12 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3.5 | % | 8,013,083 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| FC Tipp 2 Metro FC 2 | +0.2 | |
| YS Int. 2 WPAFB 2 | -0.1 | |
| Ozweego 0 Chromparts 2 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 9/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| WPAFB vs FC Tipp | +0.9+0.1-0.9 | |
| Ozweego vs Thunder | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| Al-akhir vs Metro FC | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| 25 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100 | 0 | |||||||||
| 23 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 97 | 3 | |||||||||
| 22 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 87 | 13 | 0 | ||||||||
| 21 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 85 | 15 | 0 | ||||||||
| 20 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 64 | 34 | 2 | 0 | |||||||
| 19 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 38 | 50 | 11 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 55 | 40 | 5 | 0 | ||||||||
| 18 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 29 | 53 | 17 | 1 | 0 | ||||||
| 17 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 19 | 51 | 27 | 3 | 0 | |||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 4 | 32 | 47 | 15 | 1 | 0 | |||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 2 | 21 | 49 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| 15 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 11 | 42 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | 20 | 48 | 27 | 4 | 0 | ||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 42 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 44 | 21 | 3 | 0 | |||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 41 | 19 | 3 | 0 | |||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 42 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 37 | 10 | 1 | ||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | |||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 39 | 13 | 1 | 0 | |||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 46 | 24 | 3 | ||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 43 | 29 | 5 | 0 | ||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 36 | 9 | 0 | |||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 45 | 20 | 2 | ||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 46 | 22 | 2 | ||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 44 | 15 | 1 | ||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 45 | 11 | |||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 39 | 8 | ||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 52 | 27 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 1 | 14 | 52 | 34 | ||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0 | 5 | 41 | 53 | |||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 79 | |||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 4 | 96 | |||||||||
| Total: | 12 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:35 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
