SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Let it go

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Senators 15 OY_Red 1 +1.2
+0.8
Ice_Dogs 3 Firebirds 6 -0.1
Stars 0 Warriors 10 -0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Senators vs Penguins+2.8-0.5-2.5
+1.1-0.0-1.1
Delco_Purple vs Rebels-0.1*+0.1+0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Phantoms vs Ice_Dogs-0.1*+0.0+0.3
Delco_White vs Penguins-0.1+0.1+0.2
Bears vs Colonials_Red+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Quakers vs Colonials_Blue+0.1*+0.0-0.1
OY_Black vs OY_Red-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Knights vs Senators-2.5-0.4+3.1
-1.0+0.0+1.2
Quakers vs Warriors+0.2+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Cougars vs Rebels-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Knights vs Colonials_Red+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Quakers vs Firebirds+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Bears vs Phantoms+0.1+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Senators finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs123456789101112131415161718192021Count
33-36In100478*
32141-02In95585*
31131-03In84151345*
30132-02In702640983*
29122-03In484012102,809*
28123-02In2544256106,752*
27113-03100.0%931351951014,903*
26114-0299.121329321751029,668*
25104-0391.60212263120710053,839*
2494-0463.200292230241020089,703*
2395-0323.4001517292815510074,827*
84-0523.000151728281551064,575*
2285-043.0000311243021920084,860
96-023.200031124302182000114,638*
2186-030.10017193026134100125,667
75-050.100161829271441076,719
97-010.100161829271340064,970*
2076-040.000141527291761000140,579
87-020.00015162828165100119,334
65-06Out01413272918610070,239*
1977-03Out003112531218100178,740
66-05Out002102431229200110,754
88-01Out00311253121810092,643*
1867-04Out002821312510200175,359
78-02Out002922312410200148,770
56-06Out00172031261120087,301*
1768-03Out001720322711200194,739
57-05Out001618312813300117,504
79-01Out00161932271220099,832*
1658-04Out00151933281220161,952
69-02Out00162033271120142,808
47-06Out0015183330122077,963*
1559-03Out0016213527910159,490
48-05Out0015193529101090,083
610-01Out01621352791081,173*
1449-04Out001724382450143,922*
510-02Out01826382350121,361*
13410-03Out00211333815197,578
39-05Out00111323916199,662*
12411-02Out0031942324134,558*
11311-03Out01834471184,453*
10312-02Out00221542347,948*
9212-03Out009523824,950*
8213-02Out03415511,790*
7113-03Out128714,804*
6114-02Out017831,759*
5115-01Out991504*
4015-02Out496130*
3016-01Out10027
2017-00Out0100454
Total:5.2%001112234567899101097513,828,984

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:53 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)