"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ice_Dogs 3 Firebirds 6 -0.3
Stars 0 Warriors 10 -0.2
Senators 15 OY_Red 1 *-0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Quakers vs Colonials_Blue+6.7-0.7-6.3
+1.4-0.1-1.3
Phantoms vs Ice_Dogs-0.4*-0.1+0.4
Delco_Purple vs Rebels-0.3*+0.0+0.3
OY_Black vs OY_Red-0.2*+0.0+0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Quakers vs Warriors+7.0-0.8-6.6
+1.3-0.1-1.3
Quakers vs Firebirds+6.9-0.7-6.6
+1.4-0.1-1.3
Knights vs Colonials_Red+0.2*-0.0-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Quakers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs123456789101112131415161718192021Count
34-38In100197*
33151-03In991119*
32152-02In982364*
31142-03In9460905*
30143-02In861402,151*
29133-03In7523204,383*
28123-04In5834718,628*
27124-03In34431940015,287*
26114-04100.0%1435331430025,149*
25115-0399.441832281341017,523
104-0599.431731291441021,046*
24105-0493.004152829176100023,876
116-0292.90415282917610030,585*
23106-0364.30021023292210300032,026
95-0562.4002102129231131023,635
117-0163.302102229231130017,238*
2296-0419.1001414262818720039,830
107-0220.7001515262717720027,211
85-0617.801413252819820023,926*
2197-031.7001717272615510059,252*
86-051.2001616262717610047,715*
2087-040.00002920272412410050,978
98-020.00003102128231241034,392
76-060.000281827251451031,370*
1988-03Out001311232921920051,217
77-05Out013112229221030041,059
99-01Out003112228211030028,634*
1878-04Out001514262818610051,638
89-02Out001515272717610034,075
67-06Out001413252920710031,669*
1779-03Out000292130241130059,239*
68-05Out00171930261330047,008*
1669-04Out015162930164045,618*
710-02Out0015173029153027,291
58-06Out0014142831185017,998
15610-03Out000415303315331,698
59-05Out000314303317341,134*
14510-04Out0031535351123,989
611-02Out00031635341130,676*
13511-03Out01523432717,377
410-05Out00522442920,609*
12411-04Out0110414825,189*
11412-03Out04296815,372*
10312-04Out0117828,505*
9313-03Out09914,447*
8314-02Out04962,089*
7214-03Out298921*
6215-02Out0100364*
5115-03Out199132*
0-4Out100188*
Total:17.7%2233444455566666666651,195,922

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs