SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sometimes I
forget the point

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Stars 0 Warriors 10 -0.2
Ice_Dogs 3 Firebirds 6 -0.2
Delco_Purple 4 Wildcats 1 -0.1
OY_Black 3 Hawks 9 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Quakers vs Colonials_Blue+4.3-0.2-3.1
+1.2+0.1-0.9
Delco_Purple vs Rebels-0.2*+0.1+0.3
Phantoms vs Ice_Dogs-0.1*+0.0+0.3
Delco_White vs Penguins-0.2*+0.0+0.2
Bears vs Colonials_Red+0.2*+0.1-0.2
OY_Black vs OY_Red-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Quakers vs Warriors+5.1+0.2-3.0
+1.3+0.2-0.8
Quakers vs Firebirds+4.8*+0.0-3.2
+1.3+0.1-0.9
Knights vs Colonials_Red+0.2*+0.1-0.2
Cougars vs Rebels-0.1*+0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Quakers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs123456789101112131415161718192021Count
36-38In100455*
35160-03In93714*
34161-02In98241*
33151-03In9010167*
32152-02In88120436*
31142-03In782111,210*
30143-02In61346003,039*
29133-03In384416206,853*
28123-04In204129101014,119*
27124-0399.9%626362371027,482*
26114-0498.41926332271048,938*
25115-0388.5029233123920080,166*
24105-0458.10017203026123000122,596*
23106-0321.0001516282816510077,019
95-0519.9001415282917610099,418*
2296-042.80021124312292000103,299
107-022.8002102431229200132,886*
2197-030.10017203026123000126,155
86-050.1001619302713400169,354*
2087-040.0001516282916510175,282*
98-020.00015162828165100171,631*
1988-03Out0003132630197100161,830
77-05Out0003122530207100129,375
99-01Out00312263020710090,203*
1878-04Out00292331239200171,434
89-02Out002102431228200114,485
67-06Out002822312510200106,681*
1779-03Out0001821322510200161,490
68-05Out001720322711200127,525
810-01Out00172032261120089,063*
1669-04Out00162033271120150,840
710-02Out00172133261010103,647
58-06Out0016183329122089,988*
15610-03Out0017223526810126,899
59-05Out0016203527910164,061*
14510-04Out001725382450100,951
611-02Out001725372450129,868*
13511-03Out00211323816177,719
410-05Out00110313917292,346*
12411-04Out0031741336116,355*
11412-03Out00730471674,746*
10312-04Out0217503144,252*
9313-03Out007444923,899*
8314-02Out02306711,840*
7214-03Out118825,279*
6215-02Out010902,111*
5115-03Out595767*
4116-02Out397254*
3117-01Out29853*
0-2Out100463*
Total:7.5%0111223456778899886423,828,984

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:53 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)