How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Stars 0 Warriors 10 -0.2
Ice_Dogs 3 Firebirds 6 -0.1
Delco_Purple 4 Wildcats 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Delco_White vs Penguins-2.9*-0.0+4.5
-0.9+0.1+1.3
Senators vs Penguins-3.0-0.5+3.3
-1.1-0.0+1.1
Delco_Purple vs Rebels-0.1*+0.1+0.3
Phantoms vs Ice_Dogs-0.1+0.1+0.3
Bears vs Colonials_Red+0.2*+0.0-0.2
Quakers vs Colonials_Blue+0.2*+0.0-0.2
OY_Black vs OY_Red-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Quakers vs Warriors+0.2*+0.0-0.1
Quakers vs Firebirds+0.2*+0.1-0.2
Knights vs Colonials_Red+0.2*+0.1-0.2
Cougars vs Rebels-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Knights vs Senators-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Bears vs Phantoms+0.1*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Penguins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs123456789101112131415161718192021Count
34-38In100491*
33151-03In973118*
32152-02In919386*
31142-03In84151953*
30143-02In6432402,451*
29133-03In444213105,907*
28123-04In23422771012,204*
27124-0399.9%828362161023,744*
26114-0498.8211283220610043,031*
25115-0390.102102531218200072,137*
24105-0460.80018213025113000112,565*
23106-0322.3001516292816510093,549*
95-0520.600151528291661069,664*
2296-042.900311243022920097,566
107-023.2000311243021820066,184
85-062.600210233023920058,522*
2197-030.10017193026133000120,178
86-050.100161829271441095,428
108-010.100161929271341066,697*
2087-040.00015152829175100146,746
98-020.000151628281651097,906
76-060.000141427291861091,213*
1988-03Out003122530207100158,351
77-05Out0003112431218200127,327
99-01Out00311253021810089,050*
1878-04Out002822312410200171,318
89-02Out00292331239200114,722
67-06Out002821312611200107,257*
1779-03Out001720322611200218,338*
68-05Out001619312812300166,763*
1669-04Out001619332811200155,600
710-02Out001720332710200106,500
58-06Out0151832301220092,537*
15610-03Out0016213528910159,315*
59-05Out016203528910144,566*
14510-04Out001724372450107,523
611-02Out00182637235077,824
49-06Out00162338266059,888*
13511-03Out00111323816183,097
410-05Out001103139182100,110*
12411-04Out0031741336127,873*
11412-03Out00731461682,066*
10312-04Out0216503149,631*
9313-03Out07434927,297*
8314-02Out02316713,727*
7214-03Out018816,227*
6215-02Out010902,577*
5115-03Out496979*
4116-02Out199327*
0-3Out100554*
Total:6.9%0111223345678899987423,828,984

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs