How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ice_Dogs 3 Firebirds 6 -0.4
Stars 0 Warriors 10 -0.2
Senators 15 OY_Red 1 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Phantoms vs Ice_Dogs-0.5*+0.1+0.5
OY_Black vs OY_Red-0.3*+0.1+0.3
Delco_Purple vs Rebels-0.3*+0.1+0.3
Bears vs Colonials_Red+0.2*+0.1-0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Knights vs Colonials_Red+8.1-0.8-7.7
+1.4-0.1-1.3
Knights vs Senators+8.0-0.6-7.7
+1.4-0.0-1.4
Quakers vs Firebirds+0.3*+0.0-0.3
Cougars vs Rebels-0.2*-0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Knights finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs123456789101112131415161718192021Count
34-40In100383*
33152-03In982441*
32153-02In9731,150*
31143-03In95502,605*
30133-04In881205,151*
29134-03In7523209,600*
28124-04In573571016,556*
27125-03In35431840026,596*
26115-04100.0%1436321430039,570*
25116-0399.4418332813300023,234
105-0599.431732291441031,948*
24106-0493.00415282817610031,743
117-0293.104152829165100019,717
95-0692.50414282917610021,299*
23107-0365.0002102329221030036,534
96-0563.1002102229221131032,303
85-0763.6002102329221130021,694*
2297-0419.6001514262718720045,403
108-0220.801515262718720035,335*
86-0617.9001413252819820023,955
2198-031.6001617272615510045,403
87-051.40016162726176100040,904
76-071.6001616262716610027,862*
2088-040.0002920272413410051,330
99-020.00003102127231241030,513
77-060.0002819272514510036,366*
1989-03Out001412242820920057,601*
78-05Out003102228231130056,568*
1879-04Out001514262818710045,558
810-02Out0151526281761027,034
68-06Out0141325291972031,509*
17710-03Out00282129251130036,453
69-05Out00271930261330031,779
58-07Out0027202926123021,854*
16610-04Out0015162930164031,865
711-02Out0015173029144021,540*
59-06Out014142831184019,348*
15611-03Out000415303216329,883*
510-05Out00313293418325,534*
14511-04Out0041634351217,466
612-02Out00041534351221,976*
13512-03Out00523452726,456*
12412-04Out0110404916,598*
11413-03Out00428689,479*
10313-04Out0118825,188*
9314-03Out07932,537*
8315-02Out4961,201*
7215-03Out298488*
6216-02Out199199*
0-5Out100213*
Total:25.5%4444555555555555555431,195,922

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs