SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Stars 0 Warriors 10 -0.3
Ice_Dogs 3 Firebirds 6 -0.3
OY_Black 3 Hawks 9 -0.2
Delco_Purple 4 Wildcats 1 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Phantoms vs Ice_Dogs-0.3+0.2+0.6
Delco_Purple vs Rebels-0.3+0.1+0.5
Delco_White vs Penguins-0.4+0.1+0.5
Bears vs Colonials_Red+0.3*+0.0-0.3
Quakers vs Colonials_Blue+0.3*+0.0-0.3
OY_Black vs OY_Red-0.1*+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cougars vs Rebels+4.9-1.6-6.5
+0.9-0.2-1.3
Quakers vs Firebirds+0.4+0.1-0.3
Knights vs Colonials_Red+0.4*+0.0-0.3
Quakers vs Warriors+0.4*+0.1-0.2
Knights vs Senators-0.2+0.1+0.1
Bears vs Phantoms+0.2*+0.0-0.1
Delco_White vs Delco_Black-0.1*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cougars finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs123456789101112131415161718192021Count
35-40In100673*
34162-02In991523*
33152-03In9641,352*
32153-02In891003,361*
31143-03In7919107,414*
30133-04In62325015,376*
29134-03In41421520028,695*
28124-04100.0%204129910050,625*
27125-0399.97263623710081,827*
26115-0498.4192633228100123,621*
25116-0388.60292332229200094,894*
105-0588.10292331231020080,790*
24106-0458.10017203026123000101,681
117-0258.0001720302612300130,128*
23107-0321.00015162829165100153,495*
96-0519.70014152729176100135,298*
2297-042.9003112431218200147,524
108-023.100311253121820088,468
86-062.6002102331239200102,395*
2198-030.10017203126123000147,933
87-050.1001619302613300223,226*
2088-040.00015162928155100166,330
99-020.0001617292814410098,394
77-060.00014152829175100117,341*
1989-03Out004142730186100148,429
78-05Out003122630197100132,601
67-07Out000313263019710090,800*
1879-04Out0002102431229200147,592
810-02Out000311243122810088,674
68-06Out002922312410200102,349*
17710-03Out002822322410200117,627
69-05Out001721322611200102,653
58-07Out00272132261120070,227*
16610-04Out00172133271020102,206
711-02Out001822332592063,627
59-06Out0161932281220067,712*
15611-03Out01721352691094,660*
510-05Out001621342791082,042*
14511-04Out00172537246054,777
612-02Out00182437246069,873*
13512-03Out00110313917282,571*
12412-04Out003174034651,047*
11413-03Out00630471729,469*
10313-04Out0216503215,266*
9314-03Out0742517,474*
8315-02Out0231673,315*
7215-03Out117821,412*
6216-02Out01288548*
5116-03Out595155*
0-4Out100514*
Total:17.5%1233455677888776543213,828,984

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:53 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)