How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ice_Dogs 3 Firebirds 6 -0.4
Stars 0 Warriors 10 -0.4
Senators 15 OY_Red 1 -0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Bears vs Colonials_Red-11.6*-0.1+11.7
-1.5+0.0+1.5
Phantoms vs Ice_Dogs-0.6*-0.0+0.6
Delco_Purple vs Rebels-0.5*-0.1+0.6
OY_Black vs OY_Red-0.5*-0.0+0.5
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Delco_White vs Penguins-0.4*+0.1+0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Knights vs Colonials_Red-11.6*-0.2+11.8
-1.5+0.0+1.5
Quakers vs Warriors+0.3*+0.2-0.4
Cougars vs Rebels-0.4*+0.0+0.4
Bears vs Phantoms+0.2*+0.0-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Colonials_Red finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs123456789101112131415161718192021Count
33-35In100286*
32121-01In991416*
31111-02In9911,349*
30112-01In96403,489*
29102-02In91908,309*
2892-03In81181016,232*
2793-02In653050016,323
82-04In66304013,276*
2683-03In43421320023,977
94-01In4441132023,940*
2584-02In22422781035,789
73-04100.0%224227810034,916*
2474-0399.97263623710047,878
85-0199.97273622710028,878
63-0599.97273622710018,809*
2375-0298.119243323920058,007
64-0498.019243223920042,240
86-0098.11925332282009,747
53-0698.01825332282009,100*
2265-0383.001619302613410067,105
76-0183.70171930261231038,482
54-0583.00161930261331028,426*
2166-0241.200312262920820067,134
55-0440.300312253020820050,645
77-0041.7000312262920710011,045
44-0640.30031126302082011,279*
2056-035.9001516272817510067,665
67-016.2001516282816510038,687
45-055.501515282817610028,416*
1957-020.0002819272513510057,996
46-040.0002718272615510042,194
68-000.0002819272513510018,466*
1847-03Out013122530207100048,179
58-01Out001313262919710028,935
36-05Out00311253021820018,921*
1748-02Out00161729281540036,214
37-04Out0151728291540024,157
59-00Out01617292815400010,692*
1638-03Out0021125322171032,148*
49-01Out00031126322071016,218
1539-02Out00182334258119,292*
28-04Out0172235268110,269*
1429-03Out018243725516,453*
13210-02Out0193142178,278*
12211-01Out021746353,580*
11111-02Out0738551,370*
10112-01Out22870435*
9012-02Out1882114*
8013-01Out10020
7014-00Out397146
Total:47.4%7888877654444444322101,195,922

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs