SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

PS22 Love

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Stars 0 Warriors 10 -0.3
Ice_Dogs 3 Firebirds 6 -0.3
Delco_Purple 4 Wildcats 1 -0.2
OY_Black 3 Hawks 9 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Bears vs Colonials_Red+7.6*+0.0-5.7
+1.3+0.1-1.0
Phantoms vs Ice_Dogs-0.3+0.2+0.7
Delco_Purple vs Rebels-0.3*+0.1+0.6
Delco_White vs Penguins-0.3*+0.1+0.4
Quakers vs Colonials_Blue+0.3+0.1-0.3
OY_Black vs OY_Red-0.1*+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bears vs Phantoms+8.3+0.2-5.5
+1.3+0.1-0.9
Quakers vs Firebirds+0.4+0.1-0.3
Knights vs Colonials_Red+0.4*+0.1-0.3
Quakers vs Warriors+0.4+0.2-0.3
Cougars vs Rebels-0.2*+0.1+0.3
Knights vs Senators-0.2*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bears finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs123456789101112131415161718192021Count
37-40In100462*
36171-02In98252*
35161-03In991157*
34162-02In982519*
33152-03In96401,380*
32153-02In901003,241*
31143-03In8019107,306*
30133-04In6232500015,323*
29134-03In40421520028,620*
28124-04100.0%204129910050,364*
27125-0399.97263623710082,603*
26115-0498.31102633228200123,824*
25116-0388.6029243123920073,774
105-0588.20292331239200102,027*
24106-0458.6001720302612300164,676*
95-0656.90171930261330067,666*
23107-0321.20015162829165100149,836*
96-0519.7001415272917610140,639*
2297-042.90003112431228200147,034
108-023.0000311253121810088,499
86-062.6002102331239200102,309*
2198-030.10017203126123000147,555
87-050.100016193027133000132,316
76-070.100171930261330090,361*
2088-040.00015162928155100165,888
99-020.0001517292714410098,917
77-060.00014152829175100117,726*
1989-03Out003132730196100238,757*
78-05Out0003122630207100132,894
1879-04Out002102431229200147,604
810-02Out00211253121810088,353
68-06Out002922312410200101,968*
17710-03Out00282232251020123,060*
69-05Out001721322511200167,716*
16610-04Out001721332710200102,097
711-02Out00172033271120131,550*
15611-03Out001722342681073,827
510-05Out0016213428910102,424*
14511-04Out001824372460124,771*
13512-03Out00110313818282,327*
12412-04Out002174034650,870*
11413-03Out00630471729,145*
10313-04Out0216513215,162*
9314-03Out0642517,563*
8315-02Out230673,371*
7215-03Out0117831,296*
6216-02Out793484*
5116-03Out397167*
4117-02Out59541*
0-3Out100463*
Total:17.5%1233455677888776543213,828,984

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:53 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)