SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Old_York 1 Firebirds 8 +6.4
+0.9
Devils 2 Wildcats 6 -0.5
Delco_Black 6 Knights 2 +0.4
Quakers 11 Penguins 0 -0.3
Phantoms 3 Delco_White 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Rebels vs Firebirds-10.2-2.0+7.0
-1.1-0.2+0.7
Hawks vs Snider-0.6+0.1+0.7
Jr_Pens vs Hawks+0.2*+0.1-0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wildcats vs Penguins-0.7+0.2+1.1
Snider vs Delco_White+0.8*+0.1-0.6
Delco_Black vs Rebels-0.5+0.2+0.6
Wildcats vs Delco_Black-0.3*+0.1+0.4
Knights vs Senators-0.3*+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Firebirds finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffs1234567891011121314151617Count
38-42In1001,156*
37151-03In991856*
36152-02In9732,594*
35142-03In94606,416*
34143-02In8812014,416*
33133-03In75232029,427*
32123-04In563760054,706*
31124-03In3846151093,979*
30114-04100.0%214527600149,228*
29115-0399.9935391520118,222*
104-0599.99343815200101,995*
28105-0498.831939299100133,120
116-0298.931939309100170,341*
27106-0393.4062638236100170,323
95-0593.607263823610127,425
117-0193.30626382361091,155*
2696-0476.30110293519400204,435
107-0276.00110293619500140,989
85-0676.60110303619400122,854*
2597-0345.4002123134174000291,647*
86-0545.900213313417400234,043*
2487-0416.500214313216400242,608
98-0216.500214313216400161,500
76-0616.500314313216400150,183*
2388-033.100314313216400230,650
77-053.000314313216400184,971
99-013.000314313216400130,056*
2278-040.100182233259200222,213
89-020.100182433238100147,548
67-060.1001722332510200138,576*
2179-03Out00415323115300187,738
68-05Out00415323115300148,144
810-01Out00315313115300104,437*
2069-04Out000315323214300156,616
710-02Out003153232143000201,989*
19610-03Out00416333113200183,345*
59-05Out00041633311320089,809
18510-04Out004183530101084,758
611-02Out0041835301110110,138*
17511-03Out01623372671129,807*
16411-04Out019293820380,302*
15412-03Out021537351046,215*
14312-04Out00526452424,402*
13313-03Out0214434112,078*
12314-02Out0535605,490*
11214-03Out223752,185*
10215-02Out1090767*
9115-03Out496248*
8116-02Out19986*
4-7Out100810*
Total:35.7%36891010987676532105,436,996

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:53 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)