Red Playoff Chances Summer2011
Plays Hot Pink, playoff odds down 0.4 to 9.3%
2-2-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 8/11 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Red 14 Orange 13 | +5.0 | +2.4 | ||
| Carolina Blue 8 Hot Pink 14 | +0.3 | +0.1 | ||
| Maroon 0 Kiwi 16 | -0.1 | +0.0 | ||
| Navy 2 Forest Green 16 | +0.1 | -0.2 | ||
| Texas Orange 6 Gold 15 | -0.1 | |||
| Milk Chocolate 16 Royal Blue 15 | +0.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Steel Blue 16 Lime 11 | *+0.1 | |||
| Yellow 16 Paprika 2 | +0.1 | |||
| Dark Chocolate 16 Light Blue 7 | -0.0 | |||
| Teal 11 Irish Green 16 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 8/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Red vs Sapphire Blue | +4.9-5.7-9.1 | +1.9-0.2-3.6 | ||
| Dark Chocolate vs Orange | -4.9-4.5+3.7 | -0.0-0.5+0.0 | ||
| Steel Blue vs Grey | +4.2+3.8-0.9 | -0.1+0.2+0.0 | ||
| Dark Purple vs Royal Blue | +0.1+1.6-0.2 | -0.0+0.4+0.0 | ||
| Carolina Blue vs Lime | -0.6+0.9+0.6 | -0.0+0.2+0.0 | ||
| Military Green vs Kiwi | +0.2*+0.1-0.1 | |||
| Maroon vs Hot Pink | -0.5*+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Teal vs Light Blue | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Red finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Count | |||
| 4 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 59.7 | % | 2 | 15 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 165,641 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 11.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 9,525 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 618,603 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | Out | 1 | 24 | 32 | 31 | 12 | 1 | 117 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 13 | 35 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 11,856 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 42 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 281,382 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 9.3 | % | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1,087,124 | ||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 8/11 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Red 14 Orange 13 | -2.4 | |
| Navy 2 Forest Green 16 | +0.2 | |
| Yellow 16 Paprika 2 | -0.1 | |
| Carolina Blue 8 Hot Pink 14 | -0.1 | |
| Milk Chocolate 16 Royal Blue 15 | +0.1 | |
| Teal 11 Irish Green 16 | -0.0 | |
| Dark Chocolate 16 Light Blue 7 | +0.0 | |
| Maroon 0 Kiwi 16 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 8/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Red vs Sapphire Blue | -1.9+0.1+3.6 | |
| Maroon vs Hot Pink | +0.5*-0.0-0.1 | |
| Dark Chocolate vs Orange | +0.0+0.5-0.0 | |
| Dark Purple vs Royal Blue | +0.0-0.4+0.0 | |
| Steel Blue vs Grey | +0.1-0.2-0.0 | |
| Carolina Blue vs Lime | +0.0-0.2-0.0 | |
| Teal vs Light Blue | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | |
| 4 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 15 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 13 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 21 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 13 | 35 | 34 | 14 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 42 | 26 | 5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
