Navy Playoff Chances Summer2011
Plays Irish Green, playoff odds up 0.04 to 12%
3-2-0 .600
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 8/11 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Navy 2 Forest Green 16 | -18.4 | -2.4 | ||
| Dark Purple 15 Grey 14 | +2.4 | -0.0 | ||
| Carolina Blue 8 Hot Pink 14 | +1.7 | +0.1 | ||
| Red 14 Orange 13 | +0.9 | +0.1 | ||
| Steel Blue 16 Lime 11 | +0.3 | |||
| Yellow 16 Paprika 2 | +0.3 | -0.1 | ||
| Maroon 0 Kiwi 16 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Texas Orange 6 Gold 15 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Military Green 16 Sapphire Blue 11 | -0.1 | -0.0 | ||
| Teal 11 Irish Green 16 | -0.1 | |||
| Milk Chocolate 16 Royal Blue 15 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 8/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Steel Blue vs Grey | -0.3-2.6+0.1 | +1.8-0.6-0.4 | ||
| Maroon vs Hot Pink | +1.1-1.1-0.1 | +1.5-0.6-0.2 | ||
| Red vs Sapphire Blue | -0.4*-0.0+0.7 | -0.4+0.1+0.8 | ||
| Dark Chocolate vs Orange | +0.4*-0.1-0.3 | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | ||
| Carolina Blue vs Lime | -0.3*+0.4+0.3 | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Military Green vs Kiwi | +0.3*-0.4-0.2 | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | ||
| Dark Purple vs Royal Blue | +0.2*+0.1-0.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | ||
| Texas Orange vs Irish Green | +0.2-0.0-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Navy finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Count | |||
| 4 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 93.8 | % | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 133,218 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 2.3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 37 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 10,953 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 942,953 | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 12.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1,087,124 | ||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 8/11 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Navy 2 Forest Green 16 | +2.4 | |
| Carolina Blue 8 Hot Pink 14 | -0.1 | |
| Yellow 16 Paprika 2 | +0.1 | |
| Red 14 Orange 13 | -0.1 | |
| Dark Purple 15 Grey 14 | +0.0 | |
| Military Green 16 Sapphire Blue 11 | +0.0 | |
| Maroon 0 Kiwi 16 | +0.0 | |
| Texas Orange 6 Gold 15 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 8/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Steel Blue vs Grey | -1.8+0.5+0.4 | |
| Maroon vs Hot Pink | -1.5+0.5+0.2 | |
| Red vs Sapphire Blue | +0.4-0.1-0.8 | |
| Dark Chocolate vs Orange | +0.2-0.2-0.1 | |
| Carolina Blue vs Lime | +0.2-0.2-0.2 | |
| Dark Purple vs Royal Blue | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | |
| Texas Orange vs Irish Green | -0.2+0.0+0.0 | |
| Military Green vs Kiwi | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | |
| 4 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 37 | 17 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
