Kiwi Playoff Chances Summer2011
Plays at Dark Chocolate, playoff odds down 2.3 to 91.4%
3-1-0 .750
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 8/11 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Milk Chocolate 16 Royal Blue 15 | +7.8 | +0.2 | ||
| Maroon 0 Kiwi 16 | +6.9 | +0.6 | ||
| Red 14 Orange 13 | +4.6 | +0.2 | ||
| Dark Purple 15 Grey 14 | -4.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Carolina Blue 8 Hot Pink 14 | +1.8 | |||
| Navy 2 Forest Green 16 | +1.1 | +0.2 | ||
| Steel Blue 16 Lime 11 | +0.9 | +0.1 | ||
| Texas Orange 6 Gold 15 | -0.8 | -0.0 | ||
| Yellow 16 Paprika 2 | +0.6 | |||
| Teal 11 Irish Green 16 | -0.5 | -0.0 | ||
| Dark Chocolate 16 Light Blue 7 | -0.2 | |||
| Military Green 16 Sapphire Blue 11 | *+0.1 | +0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 8/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Military Green vs Kiwi | -10.0-1.6+7.0 | -2.5+0.2+1.7 | ||
| Steel Blue vs Grey | +3.6+3.1-0.8 | +0.3+0.3-0.1 | ||
| Dark Purple vs Royal Blue | +0.7+1.8-1.0 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Carolina Blue vs Lime | -0.7*+0.3+0.7 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Texas Orange vs Irish Green | +1.3*+0.6-0.1 | +0.5+0.0-0.0 | ||
| Dark Chocolate vs Orange | -0.2+1.1+0.1 | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Maroon vs Hot Pink | +1.1+0.8-0.1 | +0.1+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Red vs Sapphire Blue | -0.3*+0.3+0.6 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Kiwi finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Count | |||
| 5 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 18 | 82 | 0 | 562,239 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 16 | 60 | 24 | 16,174 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 90.3 | % | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 34 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 457,306 | |||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 27.6 | 3 | 25 | 38 | 27 | 8 | 105 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 20.4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 35 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 5,658 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 45,642 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 91.4 | % | 9 | 43 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,087,124 | |||||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 8/11 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Maroon 0 Kiwi 16 | -0.6 | |
| Milk Chocolate 16 Royal Blue 15 | -0.2 | |
| Navy 2 Forest Green 16 | -0.2 | |
| Red 14 Orange 13 | -0.2 | |
| Steel Blue 16 Lime 11 | -0.1 | |
| Texas Orange 6 Gold 15 | +0.0 | |
| Teal 11 Irish Green 16 | +0.0 | |
| Military Green 16 Sapphire Blue 11 | -0.0 | |
| Dark Purple 15 Grey 14 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 8/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Military Green vs Kiwi | +2.5-0.2-1.7 | |
| Texas Orange vs Irish Green | -0.5-0.0+0.0 | |
| Steel Blue vs Grey | -0.3-0.3+0.1 | |
| Dark Purple vs Royal Blue | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| Maroon vs Hot Pink | -0.1-0.1+0.0 | |
| Carolina Blue vs Lime | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Dark Chocolate vs Orange | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | |
| 5 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 18 | 82 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 16 | 60 | 24 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 34 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 3 | 25 | 70 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 35 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 9 | 43 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
