| Method: | |
| Weighted | |
| 50/50 | |
| Season: | |
| Summer2011 | |
| DC Bocce Crysta | |
| CC | |
| 6 | Yellow |
| 4 | Military Green |
| 4 | Irish Green |
| 4 | Gold |
| 3 | Kiwi |
| 3 | Dark Purple |
| 2 | Grey |
| 3 | Forest Green |
| 2 | Hot Pink |
| 2 | Royal Blue |
| 3 | Navy |
| 2 | Red |
| 2 | Orange |
| 2 | Dark Chocolate |
| 2 | Carolina Blue |
| 2.5 | Paprika |
| 1 | Steel Blue |
| 3 | Milk Chocolate |
| 1 | Sapphire Blue |
| 1 | Lime |
| 0.5 | Teal |
| 0 | Light Blue |
| 0 | Texas Orange |
| 0 | Maroon |
| Lottery | |
| DC Bocc | |
| DC Bocce CC | |
| DC Bocce Crysta | |
| DC Bocce Crysta | |
| Bocce | |
| DC Bocc | |
| Bar Sports | |
| Baseball | |
| Basketball | |
| Bocce | |
| Broomball | |
| Curling | |
| Floor Hockey | |
| Football | |
| Hockey | |
| Indoor Soccer | |
| Inline Hockey | |
| Kickball | |
| Other | |
| Roller Hockey | |
| Soccer | |
| Softball | |
| Street Hockey | |
| Ultimate Frisbee | |
| What is this? | |
| Blog | |
| Friends | |
Carolina Blue Playoff Chances Summer2011
Plays Royal Blue, playoff odds down 0.6 to 3.6%
2-2-0 .500
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 8/11 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Carolina Blue 8 Hot Pink 14 | -17.7 | -2.2 | ||
| Milk Chocolate 16 Royal Blue 15 | -3.5 | -0.3 | ||
| Red 14 Orange 13 | +2.9 | +0.1 | ||
| Dark Purple 15 Grey 14 | -1.8 | -0.1 | ||
| Navy 2 Forest Green 16 | +1.2 | |||
| Maroon 0 Kiwi 16 | -1.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Steel Blue 16 Lime 11 | +1.0 | +0.1 | ||
| Texas Orange 6 Gold 15 | -0.8 | -0.0 | ||
| Military Green 16 Sapphire Blue 11 | -0.4 | -0.0 | ||
| Teal 11 Irish Green 16 | -0.3 | |||
| Dark Chocolate 16 Light Blue 7 | -0.2 | -0.1 | ||
| Yellow 16 Paprika 2 | +0.2 | +0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 8/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Carolina Blue vs Lime | +3.5-2.3-3.4 | +1.9-0.2-1.8 | ||
| Steel Blue vs Grey | +5.5+4.9-1.2 | -0.2+0.2+0.0 | ||
| Maroon vs Hot Pink | +4.2+4.2-0.6 | -0.0+0.4-0.0 | ||
| Dark Purple vs Royal Blue | -1.3+0.8+1.5 | -0.2+0.1+0.3 | ||
| Red vs Sapphire Blue | -0.3*+0.2+0.5 | -0.2-0.2+0.3 | ||
| Military Green vs Kiwi | +0.4*+0.0-0.3 | |||
| Dark Chocolate vs Orange | +0.3*+0.2-0.2 | -0.3+0.0+0.2 | ||
| Teal vs Light Blue | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||
| Texas Orange vs Irish Green | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Carolina Blue finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Count | |||
| 4 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 20.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 190,615 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 3.2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 32 | 12 | 1 | 9,416 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 25 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 532,530 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | Out | 22 | 40 | 32 | 6 | 97 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 12,255 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 3 | 32 | 42 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 342,211 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 3.6 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1,087,124 | ||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 8/11 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Carolina Blue 8 Hot Pink 14 | +2.2 | |
| Milk Chocolate 16 Royal Blue 15 | +0.2 | |
| Steel Blue 16 Lime 11 | -0.1 | |
| Red 14 Orange 13 | -0.1 | |
| Dark Purple 15 Grey 14 | +0.1 | |
| Dark Chocolate 16 Light Blue 7 | +0.1 | |
| Maroon 0 Kiwi 16 | +0.1 | |
| Yellow 16 Paprika 2 | -0.0 | |
| Texas Orange 6 Gold 15 | +0.0 | |
| Military Green 16 Sapphire Blue 11 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 8/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Carolina Blue vs Lime | -1.9+0.2+1.8 | |
| Dark Purple vs Royal Blue | +0.2-0.1-0.3 | |
| Red vs Sapphire Blue | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | |
| Dark Chocolate vs Orange | +0.2-0.0-0.2 | |
| Maroon vs Hot Pink | +0.0-0.4+0.0 | |
| Steel Blue vs Grey | +0.2-0.2-0.0 | |
| Teal vs Light Blue | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Texas Orange vs Irish Green | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | |
| 4 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 36 | 6 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 32 | 12 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 25 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 15 | 25 | 21 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 42 | 20 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
