"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Div 1100.0*Div 3100.0*Average seed
Charlesbourg 1 ChauOuest 1 +0.2
+0.4
-0.3
TroisRivieres 3 Charlesbourg 1 +0.1
+0.2
+0.4
HSC 4 LacBeauport 2 *-0.1
*+0.1
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Div 1100.0*Div 3100.0*Average seed
Charlesbourg 3 Phenix 0 -3.2
-6.9
+7.0
-0.7
TroisRivieres 3 HSC 0 -0.1
-0.3
*+0.1
Royal Beauport 0 CRSA 2 +0.1
+0.2
+0.4
LacBeauport 0 ChauOuest 2 *+0.1
+0.1
LevisEst 3 TroisRivieres 7 *+0.1
+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Phenix finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleDiv 112345678910Div 3Count
361-0-0No84.0%8416No13,382,753
340-1-0No36.53763No6,680,439
330-0-1No32.03268No13,373,148
Total:No53.7%5446No33,436,340
Points
Chance Will Win Championship