Ch.-St-Lawrence Playoff Chances 2019-2020

Lost to Rimouski 0-2, average seed down 0.1 to 10.4
4 points   1-5-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Limoilou 3 Alma 1 +0.2
Jonquière 1 Sainte-Foy 0 -0.2
Chicoutimi 2 Garneau 1 +0.1
-0.1
Garneau 1 Lévis-Lauzon 3 +0.1
-0.1
Rivière-du-Loup 0 Limoilou 4 +0.0
Week of 10/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Alma 8 Ch.-St-Lawrence 1 Out
-0.2
Limoilou 2 Rimouski 3 -0.4
Sainte-Foy 0 Alma 4 -0.2
-0.1
Chicoutimi 2 Lévis-Lauzon 1 -0.2
+0.0
Rivière-du-Loup 0 Beauce-Appalaches 2 -0.1
+0.0
Garneau 3 Jonquière 1 -0.2
Lévis-Lauzon 8 Thetford 1 -0.1
Week of 10/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rimouski 2 Ch.-St-Lawrence 0 -0.1
Rivière-du-Loup 0 Garneau 4 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Ch.-St-Lawrence vs Rivière-du-Loup+0.4+0.4-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Ch.-St-Lawrence finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
5-7Out10029,189,183*
40-1-0Out10020,950,225
Total:Out584250,139,408

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs