Les Imposteurs Playoff Chances Printemps2012

Lost to Vlad 1-4, playoff odds down 14.9 to 3%

6 points 0-1-2

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 5/9	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Les Imposteurs 1 Vlad 4	-12.5		-0.7
LiaisonMaison 0 Naked Tuesdays 1	+0.9		-0.1
Bulldozers from 5 Fabrice 1	+0.1
Banlieusard FC 9 Ind 2			+0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/16	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Les Imposteurs vs Banlieusard FC	+11.1+1.0-2.3		+0.8+0.2-0.3
LiaisonMaison vs Bulldozers from	-0.6-0.9+1.0
Naked Tuesdays vs Fabrice	-0.8+0.4+0.3
Vlad vs Ind	-0.0*-0.0+0.3		+0.1-0.1-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Les Imposteurs finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

17	3	-	0	-	0	95.8	%	0	7	50	39	4	0			74,247
16	2	-	1	-	0	55.2			0	7	48	38	7	0		539,040
15	1	-	2	-	0	10.8				0	11	45	41	4	0	1,289,384
	2	-	0	-	1	14.3				0	14	45	37	4	0	812,713
14	1	-	1	-	1	0.7					1	14	56	29	0	3,790,533
	0	-	3	-	0	0.2					0	7	56	37	0	891,657
13	0	-	2	-	1	Out						0	16	79	5	3,760,995
	1	-	0	-	2	Out						1	28	67	4	2,768,862
12	0	-	1	-	2	Out							1	74	25	5,202,016
11	0	-	0	-	3	Out								43	57	2,359,759

Total:						3.0	%	0	0	0	3	8	23	52	14	21,489,206

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs