"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
ThirtySix Minutes Til Playoff Chances Summer2014 50/50
Lost to Scioto Valley C 2-6, playoff odds down 5 to 77.4%
2 points 1 2-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||
| Week of 6/2 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Generals vs ThirtySix Minut | -10.6-2.7-2.6+8.1+8.0+8.9 | -0.9-0.4-0.3+0.7+0.7+0.8 | ||
| Loose Cannons vs Rickety Crickets | +2.1+0.4+0.5-1.9-1.8-1.6 | +0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0 | ||
| B-Dubs vs Strong Hearts | +0.4-1.2-1.2-1.2-1.3+0.4 | |||
| Crue vs Highlanders | -0.1-0.4-0.5*-0.1-0.2+0.3 | -0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0 | ||
| Scioto Valley C vs Lucky Pucks | +0.2-0.5-0.5-0.5-0.5+0.1 | +0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.1+0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the ThirtySix Minut finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | ||||
| 20 | 9 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 95 | 5 | 0 | 20,910 | |||||||||||
| 19 | 8 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 75 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 42,049 | ||||||||||
| 18 | 8 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 58 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 126,281 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 2 | In | 38 | 48 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 41,593 | ||||||||||
| 17 | 7 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 23 | 48 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 251,423 | ||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 3 | In | 10 | 39 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 24,067 | |||||||||
| 16 | 7 | 2 | - | 0 | In | 9 | 37 | 40 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 377,895 | ||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 2 | In | 2 | 20 | 43 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 220,078 | ||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 4 | In | 1 | 10 | 36 | 38 | 14 | 1 | 9,122 | |||||||||
| 15 | 6 | 2 | - | 1 | In | 1 | 8 | 32 | 40 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 660,276 | |||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 2 | 16 | 39 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 109,778 | |||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 5 | In | 1 | 10 | 34 | 40 | 14 | 1 | 2,350 | |||||||||
| 14 | 6 | 3 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 36 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 660,842 | ||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 3 | 21 | 42 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 494,898 | ||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 4 | 100.0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 39 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 34,519 | |||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 6 | In | 0 | 5 | 34 | 39 | 21 | 1 | 353 | |||||||||
| 13 | 5 | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 41 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 993,039 | |||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 3 | 99.5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 40 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 205,539 | |||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 5 | 98.9 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 6,775 | ||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 7 | 95.5 | 7 | 34 | 43 | 11 | 5 | 44 | ||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | 4 | - | 0 | 99.2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 743,086 | ||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 2 | 95.6 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 45 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 618,056 | ||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 4 | 89.2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 51,517 | ||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 6 | 82.8 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 44 | 16 | 1 | 868 | * | ||||||||
| 11 | 4 | 4 | - | 1 | 85.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 40 | 13 | 1 | 927,466 | ||||||
| 3 | 3 | - | 3 | 69.2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 45 | 27 | 4 | 206,454 | |||||||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 5 | 59.3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 42 | 34 | 7 | 7,881 | * | ||||||||
| 10 | 4 | 5 | - | 0 | 64.6 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 30 | 5 | 558,432 | ||||||||
| 3 | 4 | - | 2 | 43.6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 43 | 13 | 463,103 | |||||||||
| 2 | 3 | - | 4 | 30.2 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 49 | 21 | 38,374 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | - | 6 | 24.1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 51 | 25 | 630 | ||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | 5 | - | 1 | 27.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 48 | 24 | 556,571 | ||||||||
| 2 | 4 | - | 3 | 14.0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 47 | 39 | 116,555 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 3 | - | 5 | 10.0 | 1 | 9 | 44 | 46 | 3,924 | * | ||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | 6 | - | 0 | 12.4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 279,811 | |||||||||
| 2 | 5 | - | 2 | 5.1 | 0 | 5 | 37 | 58 | 209,806 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 4 | - | 4 | 2.6 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 68 | 14,481 | |||||||||||
| 0 | 3 | - | 6 | Out | 21 | 79 | 146 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | 6 | - | 1 | 2.3 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 70 | 209,363 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 5 | - | 3 | 0.7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 82 | 35,004 | |||||||||||
| 0 | 4 | - | 5 | 0.3 | 0 | 14 | 86 | 700 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | 7 | - | 0 | 0.6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 83 | 89,248 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 6 | - | 2 | 0.1 | 0 | 9 | 91 | 52,094 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | 5 | - | 4 | Out | 5 | 95 | 2,144 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | 7 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 5 | 95 | 45,020 | |||||||||||
| 0 | 6 | - | 3 | Out | 2 | 98 | 4,383 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | 8 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 98 | 16,965 | |||||||||||
| 0 | 7 | - | 2 | Out | 1 | 99 | 5,588 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 100 | 4,221 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 100 | 3,778 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 77.4 | % | 3 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 9,547,500 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:50 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
