"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
The Crue Playoff Chances Summer2014
Beat Rickety Crickets 9-4, playoff odds up 5.8 to 97.9%
5 points 2 0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||
| Week of 6/2 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Crue vs Highlanders | +1.3+1.3+1.3-0.0*-0.0-1.7 | +0.7+0.6+0.6-0.3-0.3-0.8 | ||
| Loose Cannons vs Rickety Crickets | +0.3+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.3 | -0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Generals vs ThirtySix Minut | +0.2-0.0-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.1 | -0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0 | ||
| B-Dubs vs Strong Hearts | +0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1 | |||
| Scioto Valley C vs Lucky Pucks | +0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0 | +0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Crue finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | ||||
| 23 | 9 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | 113,253 | ||||||||||||
| 22 | 8 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 96 | 4 | 0 | 207,457 | |||||||||||
| 21 | 8 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 93 | 7 | 0 | 620,897 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 2 | In | 87 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 178,459 | |||||||||||
| 20 | 7 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 72 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 1,072,455 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 3 | In | 64 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 89,502 | |||||||||||
| 19 | 7 | 2 | - | 0 | In | 61 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1,607,373 | |||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 2 | In | 45 | 45 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 803,977 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 4 | In | 39 | 48 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 28,733 | ||||||||||
| 18 | 6 | 2 | - | 1 | In | 24 | 50 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2,414,740 | ||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 3 | In | 16 | 47 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 343,220 | |||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 5 | In | 13 | 44 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 6,176 | ||||||||||
| 17 | 6 | 3 | - | 0 | In | 13 | 44 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2,414,954 | ||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 2 | In | 5 | 31 | 44 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1,547,826 | ||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 4 | In | 4 | 26 | 44 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 92,086 | |||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 6 | In | 3 | 22 | 45 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 858 | |||||||||
| 16 | 5 | 3 | - | 1 | In | 1 | 13 | 40 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3,096,820 | |||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 7 | 32 | 42 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 548,828 | ||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 5 | In | 0 | 5 | 27 | 45 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 15,642 | * | |||||||
| 15 | 5 | 4 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 5 | 27 | 43 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2,325,487 | ||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 1 | 14 | 39 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1,646,682 | |||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 4 | In | 0 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 40 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 116,043 | |||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 6 | In | 0 | 7 | 30 | 42 | 19 | 2 | 1,598 | * | ||||||||
| 14 | 4 | 4 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 2 | 20 | 44 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2,472,207 | |||||
| 3 | 3 | - | 3 | 100.0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 466,296 | |||||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 5 | 100.0 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 42 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 14,820 | ||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 7 | In | 5 | 27 | 49 | 17 | 2 | 96 | ||||||||||
| 13 | 4 | 5 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1,485,207 | ||||||
| 3 | 4 | - | 2 | 99.9 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 45 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1,049,693 | |||||||
| 2 | 3 | - | 4 | 99.6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 42 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 74,301 | ||||||||
| 1 | 2 | - | 6 | 99.9 | 0 | 10 | 39 | 40 | 11 | 0 | 1,008 | * | ||||||||
| 12 | 3 | 5 | - | 1 | 98.5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 45 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1,259,988 | ||||||
| 2 | 4 | - | 3 | 95.5 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 46 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 221,426 | ||||||||
| 1 | 3 | - | 5 | 92.7 | 1 | 15 | 44 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 6,254 | * | ||||||||
| 11 | 3 | 6 | - | 0 | 93.7 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 630,637 | |||||||
| 2 | 5 | - | 2 | 83.3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 43 | 16 | 1 | 399,150 | ||||||||
| 1 | 4 | - | 4 | 75.6 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 45 | 22 | 2 | 23,111 | |||||||||
| 0 | 3 | - | 6 | 67.0 | 3 | 17 | 47 | 30 | 3 | 212 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | 6 | - | 1 | 62.4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 45 | 32 | 5 | 400,227 | ||||||||
| 1 | 5 | - | 3 | 46.8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 42 | 11 | 56,292 | |||||||||
| 0 | 4 | - | 5 | 38.1 | 6 | 32 | 47 | 15 | 1,062 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | 7 | - | 0 | 44.5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 43 | 12 | 171,484 | ||||||||
| 1 | 6 | - | 2 | 25.1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 50 | 25 | 84,066 | ||||||||||
| 0 | 5 | - | 4 | 19.0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 48 | 33 | 2,902 | ||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | 7 | - | 1 | 10.8 | 0 | 10 | 47 | 42 | 71,844 | ||||||||||
| 0 | 6 | - | 3 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | 38 | 57 | 5,927 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | 8 | - | 0 | 5.2 | 0 | 5 | 38 | 57 | 27,086 | ||||||||||
| 0 | 7 | - | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 73 | 7,503 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | 8 | - | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | 14 | 86 | 5,753 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | 9 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 6 | 94 | 8,882 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 97.9 | % | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 28,240,500 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:50 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
