B-Dubs Playoff Chances Summer2014
Lost to Generals 2-6, playoff odds down 7.7 to 48%
0 points 0 3-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||
| Week of 6/2 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| B-Dubs vs Strong Hearts | +13.2+10.8+10.9-8.8-8.8-17.9 | +0.5+0.4+0.4-0.3-0.3-0.7 | ||
| Loose Cannons vs Rickety Crickets | +3.3+0.5+0.5-3.5-3.4-3.4 | +0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||
| Generals vs ThirtySix Minut | +1.8-0.3-0.3-2.0-2.0-1.3 | +0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0 | ||
| Scioto Valley C vs Lucky Pucks | +0.4-0.5-0.5-0.7-0.7*+0.0 | |||
| Crue vs Highlanders | -0.1-0.3-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.3 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the B-Dubs finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | ||||
| 18 | 9 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 58 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 28,041 | ||||||||||
| 17 | 8 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 18 | 47 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 57,777 | ||||||||
| 16 | 8 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 6 | 32 | 42 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 175,662 | |||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 2 | In | 1 | 15 | 41 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 71,720 | ||||||||
| 15 | 7 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 6 | 27 | 42 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 430,183 | ||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 37 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 51,223 | |||||||
| 14 | 7 | 2 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 647,508 | ||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 462,619 | ||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 4 | 100.0 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 41 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 23,636 | ||||||||
| 13 | 6 | 2 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 43 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1,388,608 | |||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 3 | 99.6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 37 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 283,426 | |||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 5 | 98.9 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 42 | 15 | 1 | 7,118 | |||||||||
| 12 | 6 | 3 | - | 0 | 99.4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 40 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1,390,162 | ||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 2 | 96.6 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 46 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 1,273,001 | ||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 4 | 91.8 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 41 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 107,880 | ||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 6 | 87.8 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 44 | 12 | 1 | 1,423 | |||||||||
| 11 | 5 | 3 | - | 1 | 89.0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 41 | 11 | 0 | 2,551,635 | |||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 3 | 75.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 49 | 22 | 2 | 647,396 | ||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 5 | 68.2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 48 | 29 | 3 | 25,998 | |||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 7 | 63.0 | 2 | 17 | 43 | 33 | 4 | 189 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | 3 | - | 2 | 53.9 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 39 | 7 | 1,943,107 | ||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 0 | 72.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 48 | 25 | 2 | 1,915,257 | ||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 4 | 40.3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 47 | 12 | 197,017 | |||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 6 | 34.0 | 3 | 31 | 50 | 17 | 3,945 | * | ||||||||||
| 9 | 4 | 4 | - | 1 | 36.7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 49 | 15 | 2,915,261 | ||||||||
| 3 | 3 | - | 3 | 21.6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 53 | 26 | 785,576 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 5 | 16.1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 52 | 32 | 35,656 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 7 | 18.0 | 1 | 17 | 46 | 36 | 328 | |||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | 4 | - | 2 | 9.9 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 1,768,522 | |||||||||
| 4 | 5 | - | 0 | 19.6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 52 | 28 | 1,747,962 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 3 | - | 4 | 5.4 | 0 | 5 | 42 | 53 | 178,510 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | - | 6 | 3.9 | 4 | 37 | 59 | 3,634 | * | |||||||||||
| 7 | 3 | 5 | - | 1 | 4.9 | 0 | 5 | 40 | 55 | 2,121,227 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 4 | - | 3 | 1.8 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 69 | 535,156 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 3 | - | 5 | 1.1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 74 | 21,755 | * | ||||||||||
| 6 | 3 | 6 | - | 0 | 1.7 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 70 | 1,063,299 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 5 | - | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 81 | 964,306 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 4 | - | 4 | 0.1 | 0 | 12 | 88 | 80,201 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | 3 | - | 6 | Out | 8 | 92 | 1,075 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | 6 | - | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 12 | 88 | 963,475 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 5 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 6 | 94 | 193,397 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | 4 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 96 | 4,779 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | 7 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 6 | 94 | 412,953 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 6 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 97 | 290,904 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | 5 | - | 4 | Out | 1 | 99 | 14,532 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | 7 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 99 | 249,460 | |||||||||||
| 0 | 6 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 100 | 29,292 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 100 | 93,654 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | 7 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 36,873 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | -1 | Out | 100 | 44,182 | * | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 48.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 25 | 27 | 28,240,500 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:50 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
