Chelsea Piers D7A Playoff Chances 2016Spring 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W		L	-	OT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	Avg.	Change	RPI

Hegemony	7	1	3	0		-	1	2	In			100											1.0	+0.68	5	Hegemony
RedHawks	6	2	3	0		-	0	8	In				100										2.0	+0.42	4	RedHawks
Snowmen	5	2	2	0		-	1	5	In					100									3.0	+0.19	3	Snowmen
Saints	4	3	2	0		-	0	8	In		+46.9				100								4.0	+0.91	1	Saints
Hitmen	4	2	2	1		-	0	0	In							100							5.0	-0.82	2	Hitmen
Tsunami	3	2	1	1		-	1	-1	In		+63.3						100						6.0	+1.48	8	Tsunami

Badgers	3	1	1	2		-	1	-2	Out		-38.6							100					7.0	-0.01	10	Badgers
Wizards	2	3	1	1		-	0	-2	Out		-19.5								100				8.0	+0.76	6	Wizards
Blizzard	2		1	4		-	0	-10	Out		-52.2									100			9.0	-2.49	7	Blizzard
Sled Dogs	1	2	0	2		-	1	-8	Out												100		10.0	-0.65	9	Sled Dogs
Thundercats Team	0	5	0	0		-	0	0	Out													100	11.0	-0.45	11	Thundercats Team

Week of 4/16
Wizards 3 Hitmen 7
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hegemony	+0.8
RedHawks	+1.7
Saints	-2.4
Hitmen	+21.8		+1.5
Tsunami	+1.3
Badgers	+3.7		+0.2
Wizards	-30.0		-2.0
Blizzard	+0.8
Sled Dogs	+2.2
Thundercats Team			+0.2

Tsunami 3 Hegemony 4
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hegemony	+9.7		+1.1
RedHawks	+0.8
Saints	+2.5
Tsunami	-21.5		-1.6
Wizards	+2.4
Blizzard	+1.2
Sled Dogs	+4.0		+0.2

Blizzard 1 RedHawks 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
RedHawks	+19.1		+1.6
Saints	-2.2
Hitmen	-0.7
Tsunami	-1.3
Badgers	-3.3		-0.2
Wizards	+0.9
Blizzard	-12.8		-1.4
Sled Dogs	+0.6

Sled Dogs 0 Badgers 3 (ot)
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hegemony	-1.6		-0.2
RedHawks	-4.8
Saints	-4.4
Hitmen	*-0.3		+0.2
Tsunami	-0.6
Badgers	+18.0		+1.1
Wizards	-3.4
Blizzard	+0.2
Sled Dogs	-2.6		-0.4
Thundercats Team			-0.4

Week of 4/23
Sled Dogs 4 RedHawks 7
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
RedHawks	+22.7		+1.5
Saints	+1.7
Hitmen			-0.2
Tsunami	+4.7
Badgers	-1.5
Wizards	+4.0		+0.2
Blizzard	+0.7
Sled Dogs	Out		-1.5

Blizzard 2 Hegemony 4
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hegemony	In		+1.0
RedHawks	+1.1
Snowmen	+0.8
Saints	+0.8
Tsunami	+1.5
Wizards	+14.7		+0.4
Blizzard	-25.0		-1.9
Sled Dogs	+4.7

Snowmen 4 Tsunami 3 (ot)
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hegemony	-1.1		-0.2
Snowmen	+21.9		+1.4
Saints	-5.5
Hitmen	In
Tsunami	-1.6		-0.4
Badgers	-3.3
Wizards	-2.4
Sled Dogs	-6.5		-0.2
Thundercats Team			-0.2

Saints 8 Hitmen 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hegemony	-1.2		+0.2
RedHawks	-0.9
Snowmen	-1.3
Saints	+19.5		+1.9
Hitmen			-1.2
Tsunami	-5.3
Badgers	-2.5		-0.3
Wizards	-2.4		-0.2
Sled Dogs	-5.2		-0.2
Thundercats Team			-0.2

Week of 4/30
Blizzard 3 Wizards 5
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
RedHawks			-0.3
Saints	+1.5
Hitmen			+0.3
Tsunami	+13.3
Badgers	+13.8		+0.2
Wizards	+23.6		+2.2
Blizzard	Out		-1.3
Sled Dogs			-0.5
Thundercats Team			-0.5

Saints 6 Snowmen 5 (ot)
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hegemony			+0.2
RedHawks			-0.3
Snowmen			+0.7
Saints	In		+1.4
Hitmen			-0.9
Tsunami	-11.8		-0.2
Badgers	-13.6		-0.4
Wizards	Out		-0.2
Blizzard	-2.1		-0.3

Tsunami 3 Badgers 2 (ot)
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
RedHawks			+0.2
Snowmen			+0.2
Saints	-3.1		-0.4
Hitmen			-0.2
Tsunami	+38.3		+1.5
Badgers	-15.9		-0.1
Wizards	Out		-0.5
Blizzard			-0.5
Sled Dogs			-0.2

Hegemony 1 RedHawks 4 (ot)
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hegemony			+0.7
RedHawks			-0.1
Saints			-0.2
Hitmen			-0.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chelsea Piers D7A Playoff Chances 2016Spring 50/50

Big Games