"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Gunner’s Runners Playoff Chances 2014-2015
Beat Kyle 53-45, playoff odds up 4.1 to 6.5%
8 points 4-5-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/2 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kyle 45 Josh 53 | +3.9 | +0.8 | ||
| Chris 76 Yarroch 91 | -0.5 | |||
| Fitz 59 Zach 62 | +0.4 | |||
| Brandon 60 Bill 63 | -0.2 | +0.1 | ||
| Babs 110 Daryll 33 | -0.2 | +0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/9 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Josh vs Yarroch | +9.0-1.9-4.4 | +0.8+0.2-0.4 | ||
| Babs vs Bill | +0.5-1.1-0.5 | |||
| Jake vs Kyle | +0.2-0.8-0.2 | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||
| Daryll vs Fitz | +0.2*+0.1-0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | ||
| Jason vs Chris | +0.0-0.2-0.0 | |||
| Zach vs Brandon | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Josh finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 16 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.7 | % | 1 | 10 | 30 | 35 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 149,633 | |||||||
| 15 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 92.9 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 30,937 | ||||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 64.3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 1,459,806 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 61.8 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 40 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 2,425 | |||||||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 16.6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 54 | 28 | 1 | 231,553 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 24.0 | 2 | 22 | 53 | 21 | 2 | 96 | |||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 38 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 5,417,191 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 4.6 | 0 | 5 | 38 | 51 | 7 | 0 | 12,175 | ||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 12 | 63 | 24 | 1 | 568,625 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 21 | 219 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 39 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 8,823,394 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 39 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 14,723 | ||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 13 | 58 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 457,944 | ||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 2 | 24 | 51 | 22 | 2 | 5,323,143 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 6.5 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 27 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 22,491,864 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:59 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
