Ditka's Mustache Playoff Chances 2014-2015
Lost to Zach 59-62, playoff odds down 13.2 to 3.4%
6 points 3-6-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/2 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Fitz 59 Zach 62 | -11.2 | -0.9 | ||
| Kyle 45 Josh 53 | +2.7 | |||
| Chris 76 Yarroch 91 | -2.3 | -0.1 | ||
| Brandon 60 Bill 63 | -1.3 | +0.0 | ||
| Babs 110 Daryll 33 | -1.3 | +0.0 | ||
| Jake 42 Jason 55 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/9 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Daryll vs Fitz | -2.9-1.5+2.0 | -0.9+0.1+0.6 | ||
| Jake vs Kyle | +0.5-0.2-0.7 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Babs vs Bill | +0.3-0.6-0.3 | |||
| Josh vs Yarroch | -0.1*+0.1+0.0 | -0.2-0.0+0.1 | ||
| Zach vs Brandon | -0.0+0.2+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Fitz finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 14 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 61.4 | % | 0 | 3 | 17 | 41 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 830,945 | |||||||
| 13 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 23.2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 48 | 27 | 2 | 118,876 | |||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 4.8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 51 | 16 | 0 | 4,460,817 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 3.8 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 53 | 16 | 0 | 6,073 | ||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 11 | 58 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 454,218 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 3 | Out | 9 | 60 | 29 | 2 | 128 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 49 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 8,263,467 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | Out | 2 | 26 | 52 | 19 | 1 | 14,959 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | 10 | 44 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 528,856 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 3 | Out | 8 | 46 | 39 | 6 | 156 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | 1 | 7 | 41 | 45 | 6 | 6,079,996 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 6 | 46 | 43 | 5 | 8,033 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 13 | 66 | 21 | 186,479 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 25 | 74 | 1,538,861 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 3.4 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 20 | 15 | 7 | 22,491,864 | |||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:59 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
