Vicious Squirrels Title Chances 2018-2019CIDL-Novice 50/50
Lost to Wild Goose 3-5, title odds down 8.8 to 70.4%
17 points 8-0 1 1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 1/5 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Vicious Squirrels 3 Wild Goose 5 | -6.4 | -0.1 | ||
| Bandits 5 Voodoo 4 | -1.5 | |||
| Knights 5 Ice Dragons 1 | -1.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 1/12 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bandits vs Vicious Squirrels | -9.8*+0.0+9.8 | -0.2+0.0+0.2 | ||
| Knights vs Voodoo | -3.9+0.7+3.7 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Wild Goose vs Ice Dragons | +0.7+0.8-0.9 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Vicious Squirrels finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | T | wins title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Count | |||||
| 36 | -41 | Yes | 100 | 353,360 | * | |||||||||||||
| 35 | 8 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 100.0 | % | 100 | 0 | 202,741 | ||||||||
| 9 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | 100.0 | 100 | 0 | 171,770 | ||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | Yes | 100 | 24,142 | * | ||||||||||
| 34 | 8 | - | 0 | 3 | 1 | 100.0 | 100 | 0 | 455,771 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 2 | 3 | 100.0 | 100 | 0 | 159,771 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 1 | 5 | Yes | 100 | 9,987 | * | ||||||||||
| 33 | 7 | - | 0 | 3 | 2 | 99.9 | 100 | 0 | 540,261 | |||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | 4 | 0 | 99.9 | 100 | 0 | 384,911 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 2 | 4 | 99.8 | 100 | 0 | 85,557 | * | |||||||||
| 32 | 7 | - | 0 | 4 | 1 | 99.4 | 99 | 1 | 911,084 | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 3 | 3 | 99.3 | 99 | 1 | 373,424 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 2 | 5 | 99.3 | 99 | 1 | 29,898 | * | |||||||||
| 31 | 6 | - | 0 | 4 | 2 | 97.9 | 98 | 2 | 0 | 944,466 | ||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 5 | 0 | 98.1 | 98 | 2 | 0 | 614,752 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 3 | 4 | 97.7 | 98 | 2 | 0 | 172,935 | * | ||||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 0 | 5 | 1 | 94.8 | 95 | 5 | 0 | 1,275,550 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 4 | 3 | 93.7 | 94 | 6 | 0 | 559,053 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 3 | 5 | 93.1 | 93 | 7 | 0 | 49,952 | * | ||||||||
| 29 | 5 | - | 0 | 5 | 2 | 86.2 | 86 | 14 | 0 | 1,133,020 | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 6 | 0 | 88.0 | 88 | 12 | 0 | 718,204 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 4 | 4 | 84.4 | 84 | 15 | 0 | 206,390 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 3 | 6 | 83.9 | 84 | 16 | 0 | 9,759 | * | ||||||||
| 28 | 5 | - | 0 | 6 | 1 | 74.1 | 74 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 1,275,232 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 5 | 3 | 70.2 | 70 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 559,047 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 4 | 5 | 67.4 | 67 | 31 | 1 | 50,576 | * | ||||||||
| 27 | 4 | - | 0 | 6 | 2 | 51.5 | 52 | 44 | 4 | 0 | 944,475 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 7 | 0 | 56.4 | 56 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 617,478 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 5 | 4 | 47.0 | 47 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 165,792 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 4 | 6 | 44.9 | 45 | 49 | 6 | 7,440 | * | ||||||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 0 | 7 | 1 | 31.4 | 31 | 55 | 13 | 0 | 912,512 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 6 | 3 | 26.0 | 26 | 57 | 17 | 1 | 373,527 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 5 | 5 | 22.1 | 22 | 57 | 20 | 1 | 29,731 | * | |||||||
| 25 | 3 | - | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10.2 | 10 | 52 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 539,996 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 8 | 0 | 14.0 | 14 | 55 | 29 | 2 | 388,873 | * | |||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7.3 | 7 | 48 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 83,129 | |||||||
| 24 | 3 | - | 0 | 8 | 1 | 2.5 | 2 | 34 | 52 | 11 | 0 | 456,972 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 7 | 3 | 1.3 | 1 | 26 | 55 | 17 | 0 | 160,872 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0.6 | 1 | 23 | 56 | 20 | 0 | 9,927 | * | ||||||
| 23 | 2 | - | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0.1 | 0 | 10 | 51 | 37 | 2 | 202,655 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 14 | 56 | 29 | 1 | 171,979 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 7 | 4 | 0.1 | 0 | 6 | 46 | 44 | 4 | 24,125 | * | ||||||
| 22 | 2 | - | 0 | 9 | 1 | No | 2 | 34 | 55 | 10 | 152,537 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 8 | 3 | No | 1 | 25 | 59 | 15 | 41,519 | * | |||||||
| 21 | 2 | - | 0 | 10 | 0 | No | 0 | 16 | 61 | 23 | 0 | 51,151 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 9 | 2 | No | 0 | 10 | 58 | 32 | 0 | 47,796 | * | ||||||
| 20 | 1 | - | 0 | 10 | 1 | No | 0 | 3 | 44 | 52 | 1 | 34,524 | * | |||||
| 19 | 1 | - | 0 | 11 | 0 | No | 1 | 27 | 68 | 4 | 13,996 | * | ||||||
| 18 | 0 | - | 0 | 11 | 1 | No | 0 | 11 | 76 | 12 | 2,850 | |||||||
| 17 | 0 | - | 0 | 12 | 0 | No | 5 | 73 | 22 | 7,679 | ||||||||
| Total: | 70.4 | % | 70 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16,713,148 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:52 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
